Odds Heavily Favor Bernie Sanders Before Nevada Debate

Heading into the ninth Democratic presidential debate, the oddsmakers are feelin’ the Bern like never before.

Bernie Sanders’ betting odds—for both the Nevada caucuses and 2020 Democratic nominee—have hit a record high just hours before the candidates take the stage at Paris Theater in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Nevada Caucus Odds

Via Bovada – Feb. 19, 2020

  • Bernie Sanders -650
  • Joe Biden +900
  • Pete Buttigieg +1000
  • Amy Klobuchar +2500
  • Tom Steyer +5000
  • Elizabeth Warren +10000

When looking at the current Nevada Caucus odds, it’s clear Sanders holds a massive lead over his Democratic rivals.

Bovada sportsbook currently listed Sanders at -650 odds ($650 bet wins $100). When converted to an implied probability, we can see the oddsmakers give the Vermont senator an approximately 86.67% chance to win the third primary state.

Early voting began earlier this week, and the NV caucus results will be reported on Sat., Feb. 22. According to the Nevada average polling at RealClearPolitics, Sanders currently polls at 30% support and holds at 14 percentage point lead over Joe Biden, who sits at 16% support.

As a result, Biden’s betting chances check-in at a distant second, with oddsmakers listing him at +900 ($100 bet $900). At those odds, the former Vice President has about a 10% chance to pull off the upset.

2020 Democratic Nominee Odds

Via Bovada – Feb. 19, 2020

  • Bernie Sanders +125
  • Michael Bloomberg +200
  • Joe Biden +775
  • Pete Buttigieg +800
  • Amy Klobuchar +2000
  • Hillary Clinton +2000
  • Elizabeth Warren +6600
  • Michelle Obama +8000
  • Tom Steyer +15000
  • Tulsi Gabbard +20000

While the Democratic nomination odds are a bit tighter, Sanders has remained the favorite since late-January, and his chances of becoming the nominee have steadily increased over that period.

At +125 odds ($100 bet wins $125), Sanders currently has a 44.44% implied probability of becoming the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election.

Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg appears to pose the only significant challenge to Sanders at this point in the race, with oddsmakers at Bovada putting the billionaire in second place on the board and listing Bloomberg’s odds at +200, giving him a 33.33% chance to win the nomination.

Nevada Democratic Debate Prop Bets

In addition to the 2020 presidential futures for the Nevada caucuses and Democratic nomination, there are also debate prop bets available for action before the candidates take the stage tonight.

The Nevada debate props were initially released yesterday. Still, you can find the updated odds below, along with some of the newest additions on the prop betting board at BetOnline sportsbook.

Via BetOnline – Feb. 19, 2020

Will Bernie Sanders say “damn” during the debate?

  • Yes -140
  • No +100

Will Bernie Sanders say “Epstein” during the debate?

  • No -900
  • Yes +500

Will “favorite” or “underdog” be said by any candidate?

  • No -280
  • Yes +185

Will “sports betting” or “gambling” be a topic at the debate?

  • No -700
  • Yes +400

Will “Hillary” be said by any candidate?

  • No -400
  • Yes +250

Will “Astros” be said by any candidate?

  • Yes +1000
  • No +600

Over/Under: How many times will “Trump” be said by all candidates?

  • Under 52.5 Trump -125
  • Over 52.5 Trump -115

Over/Under: How many times will “billionaires” be said by all candidates?

  • Over 2.5 billionaires -160
  • Under 2.5 billionaires +120

Over/Under: How many times will “China” be said by all candidates?

  • Over 10.5 China -120
  • Under 10.5 China -120

Over/Under: How many times will “virus” be said by all candidates?

  • Over 3.5 virus -135
  • Under 3.5 virus -105
Chris Mills:

Chris joined our team in mid-2018 and has since become quite the betting aficionado. His love for politics began at a young age, and after following various politicians throughout the years, he decided he'd prefer to write political news rather than become political news.

He received his journalism degree from the esteemed Univerisity of Florida (Go Gators!) and when he's not following politics he enjoys playing video games, sports betting, watching football, and writing content for various video gaming websites.

Chris has lived in the Tallahassee area since graduating from college and intends to make his mark as a Gator in this Seminole loving college town. Though PEO headquarters is based in Tallahassee, we have ended up with several Gators on staff.

Chris can be reached by email: Chris@presidentialelectionodds.net