With the growing momentum of political betting, it is only natural that betting odds and lines have become popular for big events in the political cycle, including Presidential debates. There will be odds and prop bets available for the Democratic Presidential debates, the Republican Presidential debates (if any take place), and the official 2020 Presidential debates.
We intend to cover any and all odds and betting lines that emerge for these debates. And let’s be honest, to get through the heaviness of any political season, prop bets and SNL skits are a life saver.
Keep in mind that the Vegas odds on Presidential debates will come and go throughout the debate schedule, so there may not be odds or lines published here each time that you visit. When no odds or betting lines are available once things get underway – you will see a TBA place holder. This means check back closer to the next debate when the oddsmakers are more likely to give us some information.
Most of the betting lines for Presidential debates will come in the form of prop bets. Also called proposition bets, these types of odds and betting lines will cover everything from what candidates will wear to specific phrases they will say. You’ll see lines for how long they will get to talk, what they will talk about, and certain behaviors they may exhibit. While prop best are more closely associated with sports events, such as the Super Bowl, they have become more mainstream in the political betting arena as well. A little further down on this page you will find a list of current prop bets for specific debates.
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Presidential debates are typically broken down into individual party debates such as the Democratic Presidential Debates and Republican Presidential Debates. Then after each party selects their nominee, the official Presidential debates can commence.
The third Democratic presidential debate will take place on September 12th. Ten Presidential candidates have qualified to participate in the event.
The DNC sets the requirements for each debate. To make the debate stage in September, Democratic candidates must have 130,000 unique donors—with 400 of the donors coming from 20 different states—and earn 2% in four qualifying polls before the August 28 deadline. Qualifying polls include The Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, and Fox News, among many others.
So far, only ten candidates have met the thresholds:
Chief Anchor George Stephanopoulos, World News Tonight Anchor David Muir, ABC News Correspondent Linsey Davis, and Univision Anchor Jorge Ramos will moderate the third Democratic debate in Houston.
The third debate can be seen on ABC, Univision with a Spanish translation, locally on KTRK-TV, and on ABC News Live. The debate can also be streamed on the ABCNews.com website and apps, as well as Hulu Live, The Roku Channel, Facebook Watch, AppleTV, Amazon Fire TV, YouTube, Apple News, and Twitter.
The first Democratic debate of the 2020 election cycle was held on June 26 and 27 in Miami, Florida between the party’s top 20 qualifying candidates. Split into groups of ten each, the pairing of Sen. Kamala Harris and former Vice President Joe Biden stole the show.
Harris challenged Biden on his support of former US Senators that opposed desegregation of school busing. She provided an emotional anecdote, describing that she was one of the students impacted by California’s slow integration action. For a short time, this catapulted Harris into the party’s odds-on favorite.
The second debate, hosted by Detroit, Michigan between July 30-31, had the same format but fewer fireworks. However, there were a few surprises following the end of the debate. Not only did Biden return as the favorite, but entrepreneur Andrew Yang broke the top 5, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard broke the top 7, and author Marianne Williamson became the most searched candidate on Google.
For a complete breakdown of all the prop bets available for the third Democratic debate taking place on Sept. 12, 2019, click the links below.
CNN hosted the first two Democratic debates, but the third debate will be hosted by ABC at Texas Southern University, a public, historically black university. The DNC announced there would be a total of 12 debates leading up to 2020; six debates in 2019, and six debates in 2020. The Commission on Presidential Debates has received requests from the following locations to host upcoming debates, which include:
There are currently four Republican candidates running for the nomination in 2020 including incumbent President Donald Trump and former Governor of Massachusetts Bill Weld, Joe ‘Walsh, and Mark Sanford. The President filed for the 2020 election on February 17th, 2017 and Bill Weld announced his run on April 15th, 2019. While most expect the Republican party to hold debates, the RNC nixed the Convention’s debate committee as it does not plan to sanction any Republican primary debates for 2020.
Some have speculated that this serves as a warning to Republican contenders and would-be challengers to prevent the President’s polls from sinking. Co-Chair of the RNC’s subcommittee governing the Primary Process John Hammond says, “times are different from a lot of perspectives [from when the committee adopted its debate rules. Which will be less relevant] as we continue to support the President and the vice president and the current administration.” Several Republicans have expressed their desire to take rump on in a debate such as Senator Jeff Flake of Arizona and Ohio Governor John Kasich.
There is no clear-cut result to debates, rather who won a Presidential debate is about perception. Sometimes Democratic Presidential debate winners can be manipulated by the candidates themselves, news commentators, the media, and news outlets which discuss the results of the debate. What individuals or outlets choose to discuss, and frame can shape public opinion and the opinion of voters which ultimately decide who was the debate winner.
In today’s modern age many people rely on polls to tell them the winner of the debates such as the Democratic Presidential debate, this is because polls keep track and report what a sample of people believe and think. Usually, whenever a debate concludes, polling companies contact registered voters and ask them what they thought of the debates, which is generally influenced by what others have told them. Through this, polls can be released within hours or voters can express their thoughts through snap polls online which provide immediate reporting results.
Formally known as the leaders’ debate, a Presidential debate is typically a public held debate during general elections. In a Presidential debate, party candidates express their running policies along with political opinions and often opposing candidates attempt to poke holes or criticize these policies. Presidential debates are typically broadcasted live via TV, radio, and most recently streamed online.
Presidential debates are not required by the constitution but are considered popular with voters. These debates often give voters a better understanding of the candidates, their positions, trustworthiness, and competence, as well as, help undecided voters align themselves with a specific candidate rather than to a specific party or position.
Debates can vary in format, but typically opening statements are made by each candidate with a panel of moderators or journalists asking a set of questions. Candidates will typically have a chance to answer these questions either one after another or if the question is aimed at one specific candidate, then he or she will answer the inquiry. Following each candidate’s answer, the other candidates may have a chance to respond briefly to each candidate’s statement.
Following this, the debate may lead into a free for all which the moderators will attempt to try to control through an allotted time slot, then after the moderator will pose the next question. The conclusion of the debate will be signaled by a final question along with each candidate’s closing remarks.
Variance can come in how the candidates are positions either at podiums or at a conference table. Some debates will allow an audience member to ask a question. Sometimes the order of which candidate gets to answer a question or make closing remarks is determined by a coin toss, but this option is not feasible for more than two candidates at a time.
Modern debates have used a kind of traffic light to signal when a candidate’s speaking time is nearing the end. Buzzers or flags have also been used in the past to regulate the timeframe of a candidate’s answer.
Typically to qualify for a Presidential debate, candidates must receive their party’s nomination pick. However, 2020’s election has seen a large pool of Democratic candidates running, and thus several Democratic Presidential Debates will be held to pinpoint top-tier candidates for the party’s nomination. The Democratic National Committee (DNC) has announced adjusted debate qualifying criteria for 2020 Presidential candidates such as registering at least 1% in polls (national, public polls, major news organization, and qualifying university polls) and receiving 65,000 unique small-dollar donations with a minimum of 200 unique grassroots donations from at least 20 states.