2018 Midterm House Of Representative Elections

In between presidential election cycles, there are 2 major midterm elections that arguably hold more weight. The midterm Senate and House of Representative elections are held every 2 years and members are considered for reelection every even year. The House of Representatives is an integral part of American legislation. This page is dedicated to the upcoming House of Representatives midterm elections and has information on the key races to pay attention to, what is at stake and more.

Can Republican Control Of Congress Last?

There are a total of 435 seats in the US House of Representatives. The Republicans currently are the majority and have a controlling hold over the House leaving Democrats in the minority. Despite the control, Republicans are a tad nervous about maintaining the majority amidst a flurry of anti-Trump sentiments and a rush of liberal presence in the media. The same goes for the US Senate in that the Republicans are in control yet they are in danger of losing it. If the Republicans lose control of the House, it will be difficult to keep the Democrats’ agenda at bay. Legislation will be skewed towards Democratic principles and the Republicans will not be able to overpower them.

Advantage In Democrats Favor

There are only 48 seats in the House of Representatives 2018 midterm elections considered competitive. The others are either so far right or left to even think about being a debate. The Democrats need to flip 24 Republican seats while keeping the 194 they already possess in order to take control. Democrats seem to be performing better in generic polls used to test the voting waters. Also, President Trump’s approval ratings are low, meaning there is a stronger likelihood of people not voting for Reps that would help him. 41 of the competitive seats are Republican, the other 7 are Democrat. This means the Republicans stand a greater chance of losing them. These states are close too in terms of President Trump and then-candidate Hillary Clinton outperforming each other.

Also, swings of this many seats have happened before. Consider it a non-hostile takeover, but swings of 24 seats or more have happened in more than half the midterm election cycles since 1994. The Republicans have held the chamber since 2010, but it seems their days may be numbered with the amount of pro-Democratic press in the air. With Trump’s approval rating so low, House Speaker Paul Ryan stepping down and a slew of Republican scandals, there may be a changing of the guard.

Toss Up States In The Midterm House Elections In 2018

There are a lot of seats up for grabs in the 2018 House of Representatives midterm elections—too many to count. However, the majority of seats are pretty much confirmed based on the state the representative is from, their financial backing, party affiliations, etc. From an analysis standpoint, people base their projections on the types of voters in certain states. For example, a state that voted over 80% Trump would likely support a Republican candidate. We’ve broken down the toss-up states and district numbers below:

Seats To Watch In 2018 Midterm House Elections

State District Number Party
Minnesota 8 Toss-Up
Minnesota 1 Toss-Up
New Jersey 5 Lean Democrat
Arizona 1 Lean Democrat
New Hampshire 1 Lean Democrat
Nevada 3 Lean Democrat
Nevada 4 Lean Democrat
New York 22 Toss-Up
Kansas 2 Lean Republican
Illinois 12 Toss-Up
Maine 2 Lean Republican
Ohio 12 Lean Republican
New York 19 Toss-Up
North Carolina 13 Lean Republican
Michigan 8 Lean Republican
Utah 4 Lean Republican
New Jersey 2 Lean Democrat
Iowa 1 Toss-Up
Michigan 11 Toss-Up
Nebraska 2 Toss-Up
Pennsylvania 2 Toss-Up
Minnesota 2 Toss-Up
New Jersey 11 Toss-Up
Georgia 6 Lean Republican
Iowa 3 Lean Republican
Virginia 2 Lean Republican
Pennsylvania 7 Lean Democrat
Arizona 2 Lean Democrat
Texas 23 Toss-Up
California 10 Toss-Up
California 48 Toss-Up
Pennsylvania 1 Toss-Up
Washington 8 Toss-Up
Texas 32 Lean Republican
Kansas 3 Lean Republican
New Jersey 7 Lean Republican
Texas 7 Lean Republican
California 49 Lean Democrat
Minnesota 3 Toss-Up
California 25 Toss-Up
Colorado 6 Toss-Up
Virginia 10 Toss-Up
California 39 Toss-Up
California 45 Lean Republican
Illinois 6 Lean Republican
Florida 27 Lean Democrat
Florida 26 Toss-Up

Out of these districts, there are 12 Democrat-held seats in Trump districts and 25 Republican seats in Clinton districts. As you can see, the Republicans have more to lose, especially once you factor in bitter Clinton fans upset over her loss in the presidential election.

Fundraising Provides The X Factor

Some of these seats will be difficult to flip because of the sheer lack of competition. Some states have Republican incumbents that are now in jeopardy because the Democrats raised enough funds behind a Dem. Candidate to push them out. Other Republicans are safe because there are no feasible Democratic challengers at this point. This is due to the lack of funding available. It could also be a lack of candidates, but once the right opposing one is found you can expect a lot of lobbying to go in their favor.

Best Chance For Republicans To Maintain Control

If the Republicans want to come out of the 2018 midterm House of Representative elections alive, they will need to go on the offensive. They’ll have to flip seats in pro-Trump districts to begin snatching up any available chances for the Democrats. The Republicans have greater odds with these districts because even though the incumbent is set to retire and the states are so pro-Republican they will not likely flip to Dem. Control.