2018 Midterm House Of Representative Elections Betting Odds
In between presidential election cycles, there are 2 major midterm elections that arguably hold more weight. The midterm Senate and House of Representative elections are held every 2 years and members are considered for reelection every even year. The House of Representatives is an integral part of American legislation. This page is dedicated to the upcoming House of Representatives midterm elections and has information on the key races to pay attention to, what is at stake and more. Understanding this information will ensure that you interpret the midterm election betting odds for the House with accuracy and insight.
Can I Legally Bet On The 2018 House Of Representatives Midterm Elections?
There are no federal laws prohibiting US residents from placing wagers on political betting lines offered through legitimately licensed offshore sportsbooks. However, residents in Washington State and Connecticut State are prohibited from betting on politics online by their state’s gambling laws. Both states have laws on the books making it a crime to gambling online. Though not enforced, the laws are in place nonetheless.
Licensed Online Sportsbooks Offering Betting Odds On The 2018 House Midterm Elections
While its a little too soon to find odds on who will end up with control of the House, its never too soon to start reviewing the political betting odds to find out current trends in public opinion. Afterall, the oddsmakers get their information from many of the same sources that the polls makers use.
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Can Republican Control Of Congress Last?
There are a total of 435 seats in the US House of Representatives. The Republicans currently are the majority and have a controlling hold over the House leaving Democrats in the minority, but a small margin. Despite the control, Republicans are a tad nervous about maintaining the majority amidst a flurry of anti-Trump sentiments and a rush of liberal presence in the media. If the Republicans lose control of the House, it will be difficult to keep the Democrats’ agenda at bay. Legislation will be skewed towards Democratic principles and the Republicans will not be able to overpower them. As soon as the odds on the Republicans maintaining control of Congress are presented, we will add them to this page.
Advantage In Democrats Favor
There are only 48 seats in the House of Representatives 2018 midterm elections that are considered competitive. The others are either so far right or left to even think about being a debate. The Democrats need to flip 24 Republican seats while keeping the 194 they already possess in order to take control. Democrats seem to be performing better in generic polls used to test the voting waters. Also, President Trump’s approval ratings are low, meaning there is a stronger likelihood of people not voting for Reps that would help him. 41 of the competitive seats are Republican, the other 7 are Democrat. This means the Republicans stand a greater chance of losing a significant number of seats. These states were close also in terms of President Trump and then-candidate Hillary Clinton outperforming each other.
Also, swings of this many seats have happened before. Consider it a non-hostile takeover, but swings of 24 seats or more have happened in more than half the midterm election cycles since 1994. The Republicans have held the chamber since 2010, but it seems their days may be numbered with the amount of pro-Democratic press in the air. With Trump’s approval rating so low, House Speaker Paul Ryan stepping down and a slew of Republican scandals, there may be a changing of the guard. Because the margin of control is so small, and the stakes are so high, it will be fascinating to watch the odds develop on who will win the House.
Toss Up States In The Midterm House Elections In 2018
There are a lot of seats up for grabs in the 2018 House of Representatives midterm elections—too many to count. However, the majority of seats are pretty much confirmed based on the state the representative is from, their financial backing, party affiliations, etc. From an analysis standpoint, people base their projections on the types of voters in certain states. For example, a state that voted over 80% Trump would likely support a Republican candidate. We’ve broken down the toss-up states and district numbers below:
Out of these districts, there are 12 Democrat-held seats in Trump districts and 25 Republican seats in Clinton districts. As you can see, the Republicans have more to lose, especially once you factor in bitter Clinton fans upset over her loss in the presidential election.
Fundraising Provides The X Factor
Some of these seats will be difficult to flip because of the sheer lack of competition. Some states have Republican incumbents that are now in jeopardy because the Democrats raised enough funds behind a Dem. Candidate to push them out. Other Republicans are safe because there are no feasible Democratic challengers at this point. This is due to the lack of funding available. It could also be a lack of candidates, but once the right opposing one is found you can expect a lot of lobbying to go in their favor.
Best Chance For Republicans To Maintain Control And Beat The Odds
If the Republicans want to come out of the 2018 midterm House of Representative elections alive, they will need to go on the offensive. They’ll have to flip seats in pro-Trump districts to begin snatching up any available chances for the Democrats. The Republicans have greater odds with these districts because even though the incumbent is set to retire and the states are so pro-Republican they will not likely flip to Dem. Control.