Presidential Impeachment Odds

Presidential Impeachment Odds

Betting on Trump’s Impeachment Odds

Trump wave

Political betting Includes an array of events that can be wagered on, including election campaigns, inauguration speeches, state of the union addresses, impeachment odds, and more. Presidential impeachment odds have gained momentum during President Donald Trump’s first term, and many bettors were actually paid out hen Trump was formally impeached at the end of 2019. You will find the current odds for this to actually happen again a little further down this page.

In general terms, an impeachment is a civil suit brought by congressional officials in the House of Representatives against the President for a supposed crime he or she has committed. To be impeached does not necessarily remove the President from office, however, so the Senate trial that takes place during the impeachment process provides bettors with many wagering opportunities and betting lines for various potential outcomes.

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Is It Legal To Bet On Presidential Impeachments?

Gambling on political betting odds, such as betting on the 2020 Presidential election, is legal so long as the wager is placed through a licensed and regulated domestic or offshore sportsbook. With US-based sports betting being such a new commodity in America, there are no state-regulated sportsbooks offering these kinds of betting options as of yet.

However, there are several licensed offshore sportsbooks that are offering betting options and odds for President Trump to be impeached. You will see several of these sites listed here, and they meet all the regulatory criteria and credentials to serve US gamblers with legal online political betting options.

For bettors that do find local options in the future, it may still be worth betting at a licensed offshore sportsbook due to the bonuses and competitive odds offered.  We recommend you shop lines from all available options (including multiple online betting sites) to find the best possible deals.

Are There Always Betting Odds Available For Presidential Impeachments?

No. Odds typically only surface when there is actually a chance that impeachment will take place.  Licensed offshore sportsbooks will normally be the first to provide odds on Presidential impeachment.

However, impeachment odds are not exclusively for Presidents, as Vice Presidents and other civil officers of the government can be impeached and put on trial. That said, only the highest-ranking politicians will have their impeachment chances reflected on the odds boards.

What Are The Odds Of President Trump Being Impeached Again?

Several groups and politicians have called for Trump’s impeachment, and they got their wish in December 2019. However, the vote to impeach was purely partisan, with no GOP representatives voting for the motion. Trump’s acquittal in the Senate was similarly along party lines.

Of course, given that Trump is wildly unpopular with establishment Democrats, impeachment odds for Donald Trump seem to be trending yet again. There is a good chance Trump will face another impeachment inquiry before the 2020 general election. Further, if the Democrats retain the House in 2020 and Trump is re-elected, you can be absolutely certain he will be impeached for a second (or third, or fourth) time. Our guide to political prop bets and election props covers other betting options often tied to President Trump.

Donald Trump Impeachment Odds (BetOnline)
No: TBA
Yes: TBA
Donald Trump Impeachment Odds (MyBookie)
No: TBA
Yes: TBA
Donald Trump To Last Full Term (Bovada)
No: TBA
Yes: TBA

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What Led To The 2019 Impeachment Inquiry?

The Mueller Report

On March 22, the Mueller Report was delivered to Attorney General William Barr to review. He later released a summary stating the investigation “did not find evidence to charge other Americans in conspiring with Russia in 2016.” Barr’s report stated that it did not come to a conclusion about obstruction of justice.

On March 27, 2019, Representative Rashida Tlaib introduced resolution H.Res. 257 which called for a formal impeachment investigation, after H.Res.13 was introduced in January of 2019 Representative Brad Sherman. Earlier in March Jerrold Nadler, House Judiciary Committee Chairman requested documents and an unredacted report from the Special Counsel for a pre-impeachment investigation. However, a DOJ spokesperson called Nadler’s subpoena “premature and unnecessary,” saying the publically released redacted version of the report later released April 18 had “minimal redactions” and that Attorney General Barr has already made arrangements to show Congress the report with even fewer redactions.

Following Mueller’s testimony on July 24, House Democrats did not file official impeachment proceedings.

Ukraine Scandal

While the Mueller Testimony did not give Democrats immediate cause for an impeachment inquiry, Trump’s most recent scandal has. On August 12, a whistleblower within the White House filed a complaint stemming from a July 25 phone call between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. According to the complaint, Trump threatened to withhold military aid to Ukraine unless Zelensky investigated Joe and Hunter Biden.

After the complaint was not sent to Congress, Intelligence Chairman Adam Schiff subpoenaed Director of National Intelligence Joseph Maguire on September 13. After news outlets revealed that the complaint regarded Ukraine, Trump admitted that he did discuss the Bidens with Zelensky. As a result, on September 24, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced there would be a formal impeachment inquiry into Trump.

In an attempt to prove his innocence, Trump released that phone call’s transcript on September 25 and Maguire gave his testimony to the House Intelligence Committee the next day.

With claims from the whistleblower that the White House is covering up the severity of the President’s actions, Trump has denied all the allegations against himself.

Hard-Liners For and Against Donald Trump’s Impeachment

The politicians listed below are some of the most prolific members of government, and we’ve included their stances on Trump impeachment. All have indicated support of further impeachment hearings given that their first attempt turned out to be politically inexpedient and a mainstream nonstarter.

Trump impeachment supporters:

  • House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (did not favor impeachment prior to Ukrainian scandal)
  • Rep. Al Green
  • Rep. Brad Sherman
  • Rep. Rashida Tlaib
  • Democratic candidate Tom Seyer (founder of Need to Impeach)
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (did not favor impeachment prior to Ukrainian scandal)
  • Rep. Justin Amash (former Republican, now the only independent in the House of Representatives)

Not in favor of impeachment:

  • Attorney General William Barr
  • Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein
  • Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
  • Sen. Pat Toomey
  • Rep. Dan Meuser
  • Rep. Lloyd Smucker
  • Rep. John Joyce
  • Rep. Scott Perry

2019-2020 Trump Impeachment Results

Donald Trump was formally impeached by the House of Representatives on December 18, 2019. Two nebulous charges were brought against him:

  • “Abuse of power”
  • “Obstruction of Congress”

The Democrat controlled House of Representatives voted 230-197 (4 abstentions) on the abuse of power charge and 229-198 (4 abstentions) on the obstruction charge. No Republicans voted to impeach Trump.

In the Senate, which needs a 67-vote majority to convict, the House’s efforts fell well short. On the abuse charge, there were 48 “guilty votes” and 52 “not guilty” votes, with Mitt Romney breaking ranks to vote against the man who beat him for the 2016 GOP Presidential nomination. On the obstruction charge, Romney voted “not guilty,” along with 52 other Senators. Trump was formally acquitted on February 5, 2020, with the entire impeachment and trial process taking just over six weeks.

Every Senate Democrat voted to convict Trump and remove him from office. It remains to be seen how this will affect the party in future elections.

Which Presidents Have Undergone The Impeachment Process?

Three U.S. Presidents have undergone the entire process of being impeached. The first was Andrew Johnson, the 17th President of the United States, and the second was Bill Clinton, the 42nd President. Both were acquitted of their charges and permitted to resume their elected Presidential terms to completion.

In December 2019, Donald Trump became the third President to be impeached, and he was acquitted in the Senate on February 5, 2020. Overall, the House of Representatives is 0-3 in its historical impeachment attempts, which is something that political betting sharps should keep in mind for all the next times.

A fourth U.S. President, Richard Nixon, was set to undergo the impeachment process but resigned before proceedings could get fully underway, all due to his role in the 1972-1974 Watergate Scandal.

FAQs

What Qualifies A President To Be Impeached?
According to the U.S. Constitution, any government official, Vice President, and/or the President may undergo the process of being impeached if they are suspected of bribery, treason, or other high crimes and/or misdemeanors.
Who Can Impeach The President?
Technically, the people can initiate the impeachment process. While it is carried out by the legislative body, they too can initiate the process, as well as judges, House members, or even a public petition.
How Long Is The Impeachment Process?
Few impeachments against a President have occurred, but judging by the length of Johnson’s process to Nixon’s and Clinton’s, it seems as technology advances, the ability to undergo and complete an impeachment process becomes faster and less cumbersome. Clinton’s impeachment process lasted 5 months. An impeachment process today could be completed well within 3 months’ time, with betting odds for impeachment even sooner than that.
Can Anyone Stop The Impeachment Process Once It Starts?
Not as long as a majority of the U.S. House of Representatives votes to begin an impeachment process. Unlike typical civil or criminal trials, impeachment trials do not have to meet the same evidence or charging standards. The U.S. Constitution provides the House with the sole Power of Impeachment and Congress can decide what matters in an impeach trial. Unless the individual undergoing the process of being impeached resigns from their position, there is little one can do to stop an impeachment trial.
Can A President Be Impeached Twice?
There is no precedent for impeaching a sitting US President more than once, but any public servant can be impeached for any perceived or actual crime. There are no limits to how many impeachments a POTUS can face, and it seems likely that Trump will become the first President to be impeached multiple times, especially if he wins re-election and the Democrats maintain a majority in the House of Representatives.