SCOTUS Justice Seat – Supreme Court Betting Odds

SCOTUS Justice Seat – Supreme Court Betting Odds

SCOTUS – Supreme Court Justice Betting Odds

US Supreme Court SealWith political betting still in its infancy within the modern sports betting market, opportunities for betting on the next Supreme Court justice appointment have not emerged much until now. SCOTUS Justice Ginsburg’s unfortunate passing ushered in the first significant Supreme Court odds action to date, and political bettors took notice.

Supreme Court Justices have the highest authority in the nation, are appointed for life, and can shift past and present cases to fit their own and/or their nominating President’s ideologies. When a seat opens for a new Supreme Court Justice, the President may propose his/her own pick, which the Senate then votes upon. The seating of a new Supreme Court Justice extends beyond the term of the President who appointed them. Therefore, new Justice decisions and appointments become one of the most lasting legacies of any President.

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Current Supreme Court Justices

  • John Roberts (R) – Chief Justice – Age 66 – Appointed by George W. Bush in 2005
  • Clarence Thomas (R) – Age 72 – Appointed by George H. W. Bush in 1991
  • Stephen Breyer (D) – Age 82 – Appointed by Bill Clinton in 1994
  • Samuel Alito (R) – Age 70 – Appointed by George W. Bush in 2006
  • Sonia Sotomayer (D) – Age 66 – Appointed by Barack Obama in 2009
  • Elena Kagan (D) – Age 60 – Appointed by Barack Obama in 2010
  • Neil Gorsuch (R) – Age 53 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2017
  • Brett Kavanaugh – Age 56 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2018
  • Amy Coney Barrett – Age 49 – Appointed by Donald Trump in 2020

Recap Of The 2020 Supreme Court Odds On Who Will Replace Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg

Once Justice Ginsburg passed away, oddsmakers were quick to create odds on her replacement because of the GOP’s haste in doing so before the looming November 3rd election date. Below are the odds that were posted for Justice Ginsburg’s replacement, as well as two prop bets regarding the eventual date of confirmation.

Amy Coney Barrett was selected by Trump for the SCOTUS on Saturday, September 26th, and was able to pass through the US Senate, thus confirming the oddsmakers’ beliefs expressed in the betting line below.

Supreme Court Odds - Bovada

How Many Yea Votes Will Amy Coney Barrett Receive In Her Confirmation Vote?

  • 51 -120
  • 52 +300
  • 53 +800
  • 50 +1000
  • 49 Or Fewer +1200
  • 55 +1300
  • 54 +1500

Next Supreme Court Justice Confirmation Date

  • Before November 4th, 2020 -3000
  • After November 4th, 2020 +900

Prior Supreme Court Justice Contenders

With the passing of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg on September 18, 2020, President Trump has nominated a third US Supreme Court Justice to the bench – Amy Coney Barrett. Whether or not ACB is confirmed by the Senate remains to be seen, but with the filibuster removed, the Senate needs only a simple voting majority.

In the case of a tie, the tie-breaking vote will be cast by Vice President Mike Pence, giving the GOP-controlled Senate an even bigger leg up when it comes to Senate Supreme Court confirmation odds.

The following jurists and lawyers were up for consideration prior to Trump’s nomination of Any Coney Barrett.

Amy Coney Barrett

Amy Coney Barrett – Judge, Federal Court of Appeals For the Seventh Circuit

Amy Vivian Coney Barret, at 48 years old, is an accomplished jurist and former professor of law at the University of Notre Dame. She previously interviewed with the Trump administration to fill the vacant Supreme Court seat in 2018, though Brett Kavanaugh was eventually chosen.

Kavanaugh has been viewed as a moderate in the court, and perhaps a mistake for the GOP Senate. Barrett may be seen as a sort of rectification of that less-than-ideal choice for conservatives, and she is largely “scandal proof” in a way that most male nominees would not be.

Because the pick must be fast-tracked to be in place by the 2020 Presidential election in November, Barrett seems a very safe choice for the Trump campaign, the Republican Senate, and political bettors everywhere.

Barbara Lagoa

Barbara Lagoa – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit

At 52 years old, Barbara Lagoa is the oldest and most seasoned jurist up for consideration by the Trump administration. As the first-ever Hispanic woman appointed to the Florida Supreme Court in 2019, Lagoa could improve Trump’s state electoral odds in FL while bringing more Latino voters on board.

Additionally, given her double-minority status and lack of scandalous baggage, Lagoa seems to be a very solid and tactful choice. Bettors looking to make the most money on a savvy selection should pick Lagoa, as her payouts are better than Barrett’s, and she seems – on paper – to be the smarter choice for the Trump team.

For all intents and purposes, this nomination is a two-woman race.

Joan Larsen

Joan Larsen – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

Joan Louise Larsen, 51 years old, has extensive legal experience and is a former professor at the University of Michigan School of Law. Unfortunately, she has more limited judicial experience on the bench, starting her mainstream career somewhat recently in 2015 when she became an Associate Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court.

Larsen will almost certainly not get the nod given the competition from Barrett and Lagoa, though Supreme Court consideration should offer plenty of prestige to help move her up the ladder in the US court system.

Allison Rushing

Allison Rushing – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit

At only 38 years old and without significant judicial experience, Rushing’s inclusion on the Supreme Court betting odds boards is a stretch.

Yes, Trump said he would nominate a woman, and his preference would be a younger candidate who could be relied upon to help guide a conservative SCOTUS for years to come.

However, Rushing simply doesn’t have the bona fides needed at this stage of her young career, and the Trump administration won’t be rushing her along to fill the vacancy left by Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Britt Grant

Britt Grant – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit

Britt Grant (nee Elizabeth Britt Cagle) is one of the youngest candidates on the odds boards at just 42 years old. As a former Solicitor General of Georgia and Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of Georgia, Grant has some experience at the highest level of her profession.

Like Larsen above, however, Grant has only held these high positions since 2015, which means she’s unlikely to be considered as qualified experientially for a post as significant as Associate Justice of the US Supreme Court.

Amul Thapar

Amul Thapar – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit

He’s not a woman, so he’s not winning. Bet at your own peril on this one, folks. That said, Amul Roger Thapar, the first South Asian federal judge in the history of the US, is a minority that might attract significant support under different circumstances.

The 51-year-old jurist may be in the mix for a future conservative Supreme Court nomination, but he’s out of the mix for this one.

Thomas M. Hardiman

Thomas M. Hardiman – Judge, US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit

Thomas Michael Hardiman, 55 years old, has served in his current position since being appointed by George W. Bush in 2007. As one of the most qualified men on this list, Hardiman – like Thapar – would garner good Supreme Court betting odds under less unusual or unprecedented circumstances. Alas, he doesn’t fit the fundamental criteria this time around.

Hard break, Hardiman!

Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz – US Senator from Texas (R)

President Trump floated the 49-year-old Cruz’ potential Supreme Court nomination as a tongue-in-cheek gesture, a compliment to a former opponent who is now a staunch supporter.

However, Cruz has stated his intentions to remain in the US Senate representing his home state of Texas, and that’s where Trump most needs him, besides. Cruz has effectively disqualified himself from consideration, so you should disqualify him from your betting slip.

Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton – US Senator from Arkansas (R)

Senator Thomas Bryant Cotton, at just 43 years old, is the single biggest rising star in US conservative politics. Think Ted Cruz a decade ago, or Trey Gowdy before he left his post to return to private practice and television.

As a staunch constitutionalist with a no-holds-barred attitude, Cotton isn’t qualified for the Supreme Court given his lack of judicial experience. But he could very well be qualified to be President one day, which is the fervent hope of millions of Republicans around the country.

Don’t be surprised if you’re picking Cotton on the Presidential election odds boards 8-12 years from now.

Other Possible Supreme Court Nominees

The mainstream media has presented a list of nominees longer than those you’ll see at legal election betting sites. While these potential candidates are unlikely to be interviewed by President Trump (much less actually nominated by him), they are still prominent jurists and politicians in the US:

  • James Ho – Judge, US Court of Appeals For The Fifth Circuit
  • Josh Hawley – US Senator from Missouri (R), former MO Attorney General
  • Noel Francisco – Former US Solicitor General (2017-2019)
  • Paul Clement – Current US Attorney General
  • Raymond Kethledge – US Circuit Judge, Court of Appeals For the Sixth Circuit (previously interviewed for 2018 SCOTUS vacancy)
  • William H. Pryor Jr. – Chief Judge, US Court of Appeals For the Eleventh Circuit

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Odds On Who Biden’s Next Supreme Court Nominee Will Be

Because Supreme Court Justices can retire or pass away at any given moment, odds for a Biden SCOTUS nomination can appear at any time. With three justices currently at an advanced age, there is a strong potential for one of them to vacate their seat prior to 2024.

2021 Supreme Court Justice Nomination

With former President Trump securing three seats on the Supreme Court bench during his term, the DNC is anxious to gain a seat and tip the balance back toward the left.

Supreme Court Nominee Confirmation Odds

There are no odds available at this moment as there are no SCOTUS seats available for the taking. However, we will update this information once the next Justice retires and Supreme Court odds appear. We expect a significant amount of prop bets will surface for each and every confirmation hearing going forth.

Odds For A Supreme Court Justice To Retire

Three Justices are over the age of 65 and the possibility of these individuals retiring or dying is not totally unlikely. Ruth Bader Ginsburg was the oldest Justice upon her passing on 9/18/20.

Stephen Breyer is the oldest Justice at 82 years old. Clarence Thomas is the second oldest at 72 years old and Samuel Alito is 70 years old. We expect to see betting lines emerge at some point predicting potential retirements from the Supreme Court. Once these odds surface, you will see them listed here.

Democrats vs Republicans – The Partisan Fight For the Supreme Court

Currently, a DNC-controlled Senate also controls the Judiciary Committee providing a natural upper hand, which allows the raw exercise of political power. Their hopes are to place a liberal-minded stronghold in the Supreme Court. Since the Supreme Court has recently become an active imposer of moral and political standings by dabbling in matters much more extensive than traditionally taken upon by the Court, the overreach has attracted public attention from the media and concerned citizens.

However, it is extremely common and natural for both parties, Republicans and Democrats, to battle one another to ensure their leanings, ideals, and ethics are properly represented and sympathized with by a Justice who appeals to their beliefs and political party platforms.

United States Supreme Court FAQs

What is the Supreme Court?

The United States Supreme Court is the highest court in the land. In other words, once a Supreme Court ruling is handed down, there is no further path of appeal. The Supreme Court has the final say on all the cases it hears.

What are the duties of the Supreme Court?

The job of the Supreme Court is to decide upon the constitutionality of any previous lower court rulings in cases brought before it. It may also withhold final rulings and refer cases back to lower courts with new directives on how to interpret the case law involved.

What kinds of cases does the Supreme Court hear?

The Supreme Court of the United States can hear any kind of legal challenge or case it wishes. Criminal law, business law, issues of legislative authority, etc. may all be brought before the Supreme Court. Many cases are brought by individuals, groups of people, and even large corporations.

How does the Supreme Court decide which cases to hear?

There is no public list of guidelines about which cases the SCOTUS can or will hear and which cases it won’t. Presumably, the court triages challenges on a case-by-case basis, prioritizing those with the most pressing constitutional urgency. However, this is not always the case, and the political makeup of the court often influences the cases it hears. Whenever there are SCOTUS betting lines about potential cases and rulings, the liberal-conservative bent of the court must be considered before placing any wagers.

How many Supreme Court Justices are there?

Typically, it is traditional that nine Supreme Court Justices comprise a full bench. That said, there is no law that mandates this number, and there have been larger and smaller courts throughout history. During the 2020 election cycle, the Joe Biden campaign has discussed expanding the Supreme Court to 11, 13, or even 15 seats. Total numbers aside, it is most important for the SCOTUS to have an odd number of Justices so that deadlocked rulings are avoided, but this is unavoidable during times of vacancies, as with RBG’s death in September 2020 or Antonin Scalia’s in 2016.

Who are the Supreme Court Justices?

The current Supreme Court Justices are Amy Coney Barrett • John Roberts • Clarence Thomas • Stephen Breyer • Samuel Alito • Sonia Sotomayor • Elena Kagan • Neil Gorsuch • Brett Kavanaugh

Who is the head of the Supreme Court?

The head of the Supreme Court is the Chief Justice. The current Chief Justice of the Supreme Court is John Roberts, who was appointed by George W. Bush in 2005. The primary function of the Chief Justice is to hold sway over which cases the court selects to hear in a given session. The Chief Justice may also choose who writes the majority opinion of any given case, provided they have voted on the winning side. That said, the Chief Justice of the SCOTUS has only one vote in each case, and it carries no more weight than the vote of any Associate Justice.

How long is the term of a Supreme Court Justice?

Supreme Court Justices have lifetime appointments. This means that the term of a SCOTUS Justice lasts as long as they wish. They may only be unseated due to retirement, impeachment and conviction, or death.

Can a Supreme Court Justice be removed?

Yes, a Supreme Court Justice can be impeached, like any other public official at any level of government. If they are then convicted, they are removed from the bench. Only one Justice, Samuel Chase, has ever been impeached (1805), though he was acquitted by the US Senate.

How are Supreme Court Justices appointed?

The President of the United States is who chooses Supreme Court Justices, but these nominees must be interviewed and confirmed by the US Senate before actually being appointed to the bench. Since the US Senate got rid of the filibuster, it takes only a simple majority to confirm a SCOTUS nominee to appointment.

How much does a Supreme Court judge make?

The Supreme Court Justice salary as of 2020 is $255,300 for Associate Justices and $267,000 for the Chief Justice.

How old are the Supreme Court Justices?

There is no minimum age limit for a Supreme Court Justice, nor are there any other requirements, either professionally or in terms of citizenship. The only requirement to be on the Supreme Court is that you are nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate. The youngest Supreme Court Justices in US history were William Johnson (1804) and Joseph Story (1811), both of whom were 32. As of the middle of 2020, the average age of an acting SCOTUS Justice was 67.8 years old. In modern times, most nominees are not considered until their mid- to late-40s at the earliest.

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