2020 Senate Election Betting Odds

2020 Senate Election Betting Odds

Odds For 2020 Senate Elections

The Republican Senate majority has allowed the current Trump administration to appoint Republican-loyal federal judges through majority votes which have shaped how the United States judicial system leans. In the 2020 Senate elections, we could see Democrats fighting harder than ever to restore their power in the upper chamber. The fight might be more or less aggressive by the Democrats depending on whether or not President Donald Trump is re-elected in 2020.

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Can I Legally Bet On The 2020 Senate Elections?

Absolutely. There are no federal laws that prohibit US residents from placing political bets at licensed and regulated offshore sportsbooks such as the ones you see here.  However, few 2020 election odds for US Senate races have been made available at this time, though that is likely to change as the November 3, 2020 general election approaches.

Democrats On Narrow Path To Take Over

The Republicans hold the controlling majority in the Senate. However, the Democrats have an avenue to take over. It is a path with little room for error, but the Democratic party has everything to gain if the cards fall in their favor. As things stand now, the US Senate has 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and two Independents. There are a total of 35 seats up for reelection on Tuesday, November 3, 2020.

In order to gain control of the Senate, the Democrats need to gain more seats in addition to the ones they currently hold. The odds are not as favorable for the Democrats in taking the Senate as they are in retaining the House for 2020.

States Up For Grabs In 2020 Senate Elections

Below is a list of the states with seats up for grabs in the 2020 midterm Senate election. For each state, we’ve included the current incumbent and their party affiliation.

Senate Seats

State Party Candidate
Alabama Democratic Doug Jones
Alaska Republican Dan Sullivan
Arizona Republican Martha McSally
Arkansas Republican Tom Cotton
Colorado Republican Cory Gardner
Delaware Democratic Chris Coons
Georgia Republican David Perdue
Georgia (Special) Republican TBA
Idaho Republican Jim Risch
Illinois Democratic Dick Durbin
Iowa Republican Joni Ernst
Kansas Republican Pat Roberts
Kentucky Republican Mitch McConnell
Louisiana Republican Bill Cassidy
Maine Republican Susan Collins
Massachusetts Democratic Ed Markey
Michigan Democratic Gary Peters
Minnesota Democratic Tina Smith
Mississippi Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith
Montana Republican Steve Daines
Nebraska Republican Ben Sasse
New Hampshire Democratic Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey Democratic Cory Booker
New Mexico Democratic Tom Udall
North Carolina Republican Thom Tillis
Oklahoma Republican Jim Inhofe
Oregon Democratic Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island Democratic Jack Reed
South Carolina Republican Lindsey Graham
South Dakota Republican Mike Rounds
Tennessee Republican Lamar Alexander
Texas Republican John Cornyn
Virginia Democratic Mark Warner
West Virginia Republican Shelley Moore Capito
Wyoming Republican Mike Enzi

Make Or Break States

There are 15 Senate elections that could drastically alter the course of party politics in the upper chamber. These battleground states include the following (with current party affiliation in parentheses):

  • Alabama (D)
  • Arizona (R)
  • Colorado (R)
  • Georgia (R)
  • Iowa (R)
  • Kansas (R)
  • Kentucky (R)
  • Maine (R)
  • Michigan (D)
  • Minnesota (D)
  • Montana (R)
  • New Hampshire (D)
  • New Mexico (D)
  • North Carolina (R)
  • Texas (R)

Republican Advantage In 2020 Senate Elections

The 2020 Senate elections are the Republicans’ to lose. The Democrats will have a much tougher time gaining the seats they need versus the Republicans maintaining the ones they hold. If you would have looked at the list of states according to how likely they are to vote Republican versus Democrat, you’d see the Republicans have the advantage.

But if there’s anything that the 2016 election taught us, it’s that things can change on a dime, and the 2020 Senate elections may end up being a nail-biter for upper chamber party control. Once the top legal election betting sites post odds on the 2020 Senate races, we’ll update this space to reflect those figures.

How To Predict 2020 Senate Elections

There are several factors that go into predicting the Senate elections in 2020. The most important data points to consider are the following (tempered by the fact that incumbent US Senators on both sides of the aisle enjoy a re-election rate of better than 90%):

  • Candidate recruitment – Parties work hard to mold their perfect candidate with the best odds of winning in a given district. Pay attention to the candidates to whom the DNC and GOP committees give the most support.
  • Fundraising – Money talks in politics, and some candidates have a better financial foundation to stand on. Typically, the more money a campaign has, the better its chance of victory, as it is more able to purchase ad buys and get its candidate’s message out.
  • Voting history – Voting history and voter registration data play a big part in predicting which party or candidate is going to win a US Senate race. Gerrymandering, while nominally banned, also occurs, so it’s important to look at redistricting maps where applicable (albeit this is usually less of an issue in statewide Senate races).
  • Recent trends – The “recent trends” data point reflects voter sentiment on current events, and it can be informative when picking which Senators you think will win election or re-election.  Will voters be high on the current Republican administration and vote for more GOPers, or will they be tired of the Donald Trump show and vote for Democrat replacements in the US Senate?

Red Wave, Blue Wave?

Political experts correctly predicted that the Democratic party would take over the US House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. However, President Trump enjoys a booming economy and constant attention from the media, and he is polling strongly. Even the ever-present Trump impeachment odds don’t seem to be hurting GOP incumbent Senators, though polling data is generally untrustworthy. The Democratic party has a steep hill to climb to take back the Senate, but a Blue Wave is not impossible.

Still, President Trump predicts a Red Wave in 2020 along with his own re-election in the November general. He is confident in the Republican party and regularly accuses the media of interfering with the 2016 and 2018 elections.  Political experts predict neither a Red Wave nor a Blue Wave, instead projecting a balanced political equilibrium throughout Congress.

2020 Senate Midterm Elections FAQs

Will I be breaking any laws if I bet on the 2022 Senate midterm elections?
If you live in Washington State or Connecticut, I’m afraid that the only way you can bet on the election is to visit a brick and mortar sportsbook in Vegas that is covering betting lines for the election. However, residents from all other states are able to legally place bets online at one of the licensed sportsbooks you see listed on this page. This is because WA and CT have both passed laws specifically prohibiting ALL forms of online gambling. Neither state has done anything to enforce this law, but it is in place. There are no federal laws that make it a crime to enjoy political betting lines at a legally sanctioned offshore bookmaker that is verified to be operating legally within the industry.
How long is a senator’s term for?
A Senator’s term is six years and approximately one-third of the total Senate membership is elected every two years.
How many terms can you serve in the Senate?
Members of the US Senate may serve an unlimited amount of six-year terms as long as they are reelected each cycle.
How many senators are there per state?
Each state has 2 Senators.
What do US senators do?
Senators work as part of the legislative branch of the US government. This means their focus is on making laws. The Senator’s job is to represent the people of his or her state in the US Senate. Senators are supposed to work closely with their state constituents to figure out how to help them on the federal level.
How much do US Senators make?
Senators make $174,000 per year. Senate Majority Leaders make $199,700 per year.
What is the difference between the House of Representatives and the Senate?
The House of Representatives is considered the lower chamber of Congress and is more directly accountable to the general public. The House is considered the more democratic of the 2 chambers whereas the Senate is more aristocratic. The Senate’s objective is to do what is best for the country, even if that may not be in the best interest of the general public. They debate topics like treaties and foreign policy. The Senate also has the power to confirm Cabinet recommendations and override a President’s veto by 2/3 vote.
How are senators elected?
Senators are elected by residents of the state they represent. The US Constitution has certain qualifications for Senators including they must be at least 30 years old, have been a citizen for at least 9 years and must be a resident of the state they wish to represent.
Who was the first female senator?
Hattie Caraway was the first female senator and was elected to the Senate in 1932 to represent Arkansas.
How do I contact my US senator?
There are 2 ways to contact a member of the US Senate. You can contact them via mail at their work address or you can reach them by telephone. Citizens are encouraged to contact their Senators with any questions or concerns regarding bills and policy changes.