The Republican Senate majority has allowed the current Trump administration to appoint Republican-loyal federal judges through majority votes which have shaped how the United States judicial system leans. In the 2022 Senate elections, we could see Democrats fighting harder than ever to restore power in the Senate. The fight might be more or less aggressive by the Dems if a Democratic becomes President or if Trump is reelected in 2020.
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Absolutely. There are no federal laws that prohibit US residents from placing political bets at licensed and regulated offshore sportsbooks such as the ones you see above. However, few 2022 midterm election odds have been made available.
The Republicans hold the controlling majority in the Senate. However, the Democrats have an avenue to take over. It is a path with little room for error, but the Democrats have everything to gain if the cards fall in their favor. As things stand now, the US Senate has 53 Republicans and 45 Democrats (including 2 Independents). There are a total of 34 seats up for reelection on November 8th, 2022.
In order to gain control of the Senate, the Dems need to gain more seats in addition to the ones they currently hold. The odds are not as favorable for the Democrats in taking the Senate as they are in taking or retaining the House.
Below is a list of the states with seats up for grabs in this year’s midterm Senate election. We’ve gone ahead and included which states are in the solid Democratic/Republican, likely Democratic/Republican, leaning Democratic/Republican and toss-up categories.
We’ve also included the current Senate members in each seat going for reelection. Pay attention to the toss-up states, as these will prove the most interesting battlegrounds and hold the most weight when it comes to a potential regime change.
|New Jersey||Solid Democrat||TBA|
|New Mexico||Solid Democrat||TBA|
|Vermont||Solid Democrat (Independent)||TBA|
|New York||Solid Democrat||TBA|
|Rhode Island||Solid Democrat||TBA|
|North Dakota||Toss-Up Democrat||TBA|
|West Virginia||Toss-Up Democrat||TBA|
|Arizona||Toss-Up Republican – Open||TBA|
|Tennessee||Likely Republican – Open||TBA|
|Utah||Solid Republican – Open||TBA|
There are 5 states that could drastically alter the course of party politics in the Senate. These are:
The reason for the power these states hold is that they are all controlled by Democratic senators (advantage Dems). However, Donald Trump won these states by double digits in the 2016 election (advantage Reps.) This means that these states could go either way. Basically, whichever party wins these states will be in control of the Senate.
Montana and North Dakota present another potential leak in the Democratic holding. While these states lean Dem., the Republicans have yet to find a suitable candidate to compete. Once they do, the Dems could possibly lose these states. Why? Because these states, along with the 5 mentioned above, were won by Trump by double digits. So if we’re looking at numbers, the Dems have 5 chances for this thing to blow up in their faces while the Republicans have only 2 shaky states in Arizona and Nevada. It will be interesting to see how the results of the 2022 Senate races are impacted by the 2020 Presidential election, if at all.
The 2022 midterm Senate elections are the Republicans’ to lose. The Democrats will have a much tougher time gaining the seats they need versus the Republicans maintaining the ones they hold. If you would have looked at the list of states according to how likely they are to vote Republican versus Democrat, you’d see the Republicans have the advantage. But if there’s anything that the 2016 election taught us, is that things can change on a dime, and the Senate midterm elections may end up being a nail-biter. You can check back for odds information once they are available for us to post.
There are several factors that go into predicting the midterm Senate elections in 2022. The most important data points to consider are candidate recruitment (parties work hard to mold their perfect candidate with the best odds of winning), fundraising (money talks in politics and some candidates have a better financial foundation to stand on), voting history in a particular district, voter registration data and recent trends. The ‘recent trends’ point is especially interesting. For example, Trump won states no one thought we would in the 2016 election. The Republican favor could be considered a recent trend. On the other hand, most people seem fed up with the Republican control, meaning the recent trend could be to drop all Republicans from power.
Political experts correctly predicted that the Democratic party to take over the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. President Trump enjoys a booming economy and constant attention from the media as most incumbent Senators are not up for election or reached term limits in 2022. The Democratic party has a steep hill to climb, but a blue wave is not impossible.
However, President Trump predicts a red wave in 2022 following his own re-election in 2020. He is confident in the Republican party and regularly accuses the media of interfering with the 2016 and 2018 elections. Political experts predict neither a red wave nor blue wave but projecting a balanced political equilibrium throughout Congress.