2022 Senate Midterm Election Betting Odds

2022 Senate Midterm Election Betting Odds

2022 Midterm Senate Race Results

The Republican Senate majority has allowed the current Trump administration to appoint Republican-loyal federal judges through majority votes which have shaped how the United States judicial system leans. In the 2022 Senate elections, we could see Democrats fighting harder than ever to restore power in the Senate. The fight might be more or less aggressive by the Dems if a Democratic becomes President or if Trump is reelected in 2020.

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Can I Legally Bet On The 2022 Senate Midterm Elections?

Absolutely. There are no federal laws that prohibit US residents from placing political bets at licensed and regulated offshore sportsbooks such as the ones you see above.  However, few 2022 midterm election odds have been made available.

Democrats On Narrow Path To Take Over

The Republicans hold the controlling majority in the Senate. However, the Democrats have an avenue to take over. It is a path with little room for error, but the Democrats have everything to gain if the cards fall in their favor. As things stand now, the US Senate has 53 Republicans and 45 Democrats (including 2 Independents). There are a total of 34 seats up for reelection on November 8th, 2022.

In order to gain control of the Senate, the Dems need to gain more seats in addition to the ones they currently hold. The odds are not as favorable for the Democrats in taking the Senate as they are in taking or retaining the House.

States Up For Grabs In 2022 Midterm Senate Elections

Below is a list of the states with seats up for grabs in this year’s midterm Senate election. We’ve gone ahead and included which states are in the solid Democratic/Republican, likely Democratic/Republican, leaning Democratic/Republican and toss-up categories.

We’ve also included the current Senate members in each seat going for reelection. Pay attention to the toss-up states, as these will prove the most interesting battlegrounds and hold the most weight when it comes to a potential regime change.

Senate Seats

State Party Candidate
California Solid Democrat TBA
Minnesota Solid Democrat TBA
Connecticut Solid Democrat TBA
New Jersey Solid Democrat TBA
Delaware Solid Democrat TBA
New Mexico Solid Democrat TBA
Vermont Solid Democrat (Independent) TBA
Hawaii Solid Democrat TBA
New York Solid Democrat TBA
Washington Solid Democrat TBA
Maryland Solid Democrat TBA
Rhode Island Solid Democrat TBA
Massachusetts Solid Democrat TBA
Michigan Likely Democrat TBA
Maine Likely Democrat TBA
Minnesota Likely Democrat TBA
Pennsylvania Likely Democrat TBA
Virginia Likely Democrat TBA
Florida Lean Democrat TBA
Montana Lean Democrat TBA
Ohio Lean Democrat TBA
Wisconsin Lean Democrat TBA
Indiana Toss-Up Democrat TBA
Missouri Toss-Up Democrat TBA
North Dakota Toss-Up Democrat TBA
West Virginia Toss-Up Democrat TBA
Arizona Toss-Up Republican – Open TBA
Nevada Toss-Up Republican TBA
Tennessee Likely Republican – Open TBA
Texas Likely Republican TBA
Mississippi Solid Republican TBA
Nebraska Solid Republican TBA
Utah Solid Republican – Open TBA
Wyoming Solid Republican TBA

5 Make Or Break States

There are 5 states that could drastically alter the course of party politics in the Senate. These are:

  • Nevada
  • Arizona
  • Indiana
  • Missouri
  • West Virginia

The reason for the power these states hold is that they are all controlled by Democratic senators (advantage Dems). However, Donald Trump won these states by double digits in the 2016 election (advantage Reps.) This means that these states could go either way. Basically, whichever party wins these states will be in control of the Senate.

Montana and North Dakota present another potential leak in the Democratic holding. While these states lean Dem., the Republicans have yet to find a suitable candidate to compete. Once they do, the Dems could possibly lose these states. Why? Because these states, along with the 5 mentioned above, were won by Trump by double digits. So if we’re looking at numbers, the Dems have 5 chances for this thing to blow up in their faces while the Republicans have only 2 shaky states in Arizona and Nevada. It will be interesting to see how the results of the 2022 Senate races are impacted by the 2020 Presidential election, if at all.

Republican Advantage In 2022 Midterm Elections

The 2022 midterm Senate elections are the Republicans’ to lose. The Democrats will have a much tougher time gaining the seats they need versus the Republicans maintaining the ones they hold. If you would have looked at the list of states according to how likely they are to vote Republican versus Democrat, you’d see the Republicans have the advantage. But if there’s anything that the 2016 election taught us, is that things can change on a dime, and the Senate midterm elections may end up being a nail-biter.  You can check back for odds information once they are available for us to post.

How To Predict 2022 Senate Midterm Elections

There are several factors that go into predicting the midterm Senate elections in 2022. The most important data points to consider are candidate recruitment (parties work hard to mold their perfect candidate with the best odds of winning), fundraising (money talks in politics and some candidates have a better financial foundation to stand on), voting history in a particular district, voter registration data and recent trends. The ‘recent trends’ point is especially interesting. For example, Trump won states no one thought we would in the 2016 election. The Republican favor could be considered a recent trend. On the other hand, most people seem fed up with the Republican control, meaning the recent trend could be to drop all Republicans from power.

Red Wave, Blue Wave?

Political experts correctly predicted that the Democratic party to take over the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. President Trump enjoys a booming economy and constant attention from the media as most incumbent Senators are not up for election or reached term limits in 2022. The Democratic party has a steep hill to climb, but a blue wave is not impossible.

However, President Trump predicts a red wave in 2022 following his own re-election in 2020. He is confident in the Republican party and regularly accuses the media of interfering with the 2016 and 2018 elections.  Political experts predict neither a red wave nor blue wave but projecting a balanced political equilibrium throughout Congress.

2022 Senate Midterm Elections FAQs

Will I be breaking any laws if I bet on the 2022 Senate midterm elections?
If you live in Washington State or Connecticut, I’m afraid that the only way you can bet on the election is to visit a brick and mortar sportsbook in Vegas that is covering betting lines for the election. However, residents from all other states are able to legally place bets online at one of the licensed sportsbooks you see listed on this page. This is because WA and CT have both passed laws specifically prohibiting ALL forms of online gambling. Neither state has done anything to enforce this law, but it is in place. There are no federal laws that make it a crime to enjoy political betting lines at a legally sanctioned offshore bookmaker that is verified to be operating legally within the industry.
How long is a senator’s term for?
A Senator’s term is six years and approximately one-third of the total Senate membership is elected every two years.
How many terms can you serve in the Senate?
Members of the US Senate may serve an unlimited amount of six-year terms as long as they are reelected each cycle.
How many senators are there per state?
Each state has 2 Senators.
What do US senators do?
Senators work as part of the legislative branch of the US government. This means their focus is on making laws. The Senator’s job is to represent the people of his or her state in the US Senate. Senators are supposed to work closely with their state constituents to figure out how to help them on the federal level.
How much do US Senators make?
Senators make $174,000 per year. Senate Majority Leaders make $199,700 per year.
What is the difference between the House of Representatives and the Senate?
The House of Representatives is considered the lower chamber of Congress is more directly accountable to the general public. The House is considered the more democratic of the 2 chambers whereas the Senate is more aristocratic. The Senate’s objective is to do what is best for the country, even if that may not be in the best interest of the general public. They debate topics like treaties and foreign policy. The Senate also has the power to confirm Cabinet recommendations and override a President’s veto by 2/3 vote.
How are senators elected?
Senators are elected by residents of the state they represent. The US Constitution has certain qualifications for Senators including they must be at least 30 years old, have been a citizen for at least 9 years and must be a resident of the state they wish to represent.
Who was the first female senator?
Hattie Caraway was the first female senator and was elected to the Senate in 1932 to represent Arkansas.
How do I contact my US senator?
There are 2 ways to contact a member of the US Senate. You can contact them via mail at their work address or you can reach them by telephone. Citizens are encouraged to contact their Senators with any questions or concerns regarding bills and policy changes. You can find more information here.