State Primary Election Odds For 2020

State Primary Election Odds For 2020

State Primary Betting Odds For The 2020 Presidential Election

**Coronavirus Update:  It is likely that the Coronavirus pandemic will affect state primary and caucus events.  In addition, new betting odds are being offered on various elements of impact from COVID-19 relevant to the upcoming state elections and the 2020 Presidential election, including odds on which states will have to postpone their state elections due to the Coronavirus pandemic.

We have created a Coronavirus political betting guide to provide information on how the virus is impacting Presidential election odds and the new betting options that have surfaced relevant to the state elections.

Betting odds for state primary elections and caucus events will not be available until we are within closer proximity to the actual Presidential Election season. All states have until October, 2019 to submit their delegate submission rules, and at least four states are opting out and canceling their Republican state primary elections.

This is not terribly uncommon when a party has an incumbent with strong support.  Many times it comes down to cost since the party has to pay for the events and does not deem it cost effective to hold the event when the sitting President carries overwhelming support among the base.

The odds and betting lines for the primary elections in individual states begin to become more prevalent after the delegate rules are made official and the field of 2020 Presidential candidates is narrowed down a bit more.

Sportsbooks are currently offering futures betting lines for a variety of other political betting categories. Not only can you bet on which candidate will win the general election, but you can also bet on who will receive the nomination for both the Republican and Democratic parties, and which party will win the overall election.  You will even find lines on whether or not Trump will be impeached prior to the election.

Best Sportsbooks For Betting On The State Primary Elections & Caucus Events

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Bovada Political Betting

2020 Democratic Primary Delegate Tracker

The 2020 Democratic primary season is finally underway, and we have the up-to-date delegate allotment listed below. As more and more results come in over the coming weeks, the DNC landscape is sure to come into focus. Additionally, betting lines on each Democratic candidate are going to move after each primary/caucus result, so take that into account if you’re putting money on the line.

Delegate Count As Of March 18, 2020:

Candidate Delegates (1,990 to win)
Joe Biden 1215
Bernie Sanders 909

The following candidates earned delegates in 2020 but have dropped out of the race:

  • Elizabeth Warren: 83
  • Michael Bloomberg: 58
  • Pete Buttigieg: 26
  • Amy Klobuchar: 7
  • Tulsi Gabbard: 2

Latest State Betting Odds For Who Will Be The Next President Of The United States In The 2020 Election

Following you will see a listing of each US State with a link to view the state primary odds, dates and other relevant information for each of them. Once polling figures are circulating, we will also provide a look at those as well.


2020 Democratic Primary Odds By State

Via Bovada

The following states have yet to hold their primary elections and caucuses but have betting odds posted (via Bovada). Make sure to get your wagers in ASAP, as these lines change daily!

If you don’t see these states listed, it’s temporary and means the bookmaker has taken odds down to reestablish new lines in light of prior elections. Always check back regularly!

Recent News Headlines For State Primaries & Candidates

State Primary & General Election Betting Odds  For The 2020 Presidential Race

The betting odds for state primaries associated with the 2020 Presidential election will become more active once it is clear which states are participating on the Republican side, and which candidates are still kicking on the Democrat side. As the United States systematically undergoes the state by state process that will ultimately determine the winner of the presidential nomination for both the Democrats and Republicans, the odds, polls, and betting lines resonate the ebb and flow of the voice of the American people.

Here we are focused on assisting gamblers who enjoy political betting in managing the massive amounts of information and events so that they can enjoy instant access to state primary betting lines. The lines will include both state primaries and caucuses and will represent the participating parties.

Not every primary or caucus is always covered at all sportsbooks. Also please keep in mind that the data on this calendar is subject to change according to the regulations and policies of each state. We will do our best to always keep it updated. State pages will also include information on relevant Senate and House of Representative elections, as well as any Gubernatorial races.  The 2020 state general elections will see a total of 31 Congressional seats up for grabs?

2020 State Primary Election and Caucus Calendar

State Democrat Republican
Party Convention July 13-16 2020 Aug 24-27 2020
Iowa Caucus February 3 2020 Feb 3 2020
New Hampshire Primary February 11 2020 February 11 2020
South Carolina Primary February 29 2020 Cancelled
Nevada Caucus February 22 2020 Cancelled
Colorado Primary April 18 2020 March 2020
Alabama Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
California Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Oklahoma Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Virginia Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Georgia Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Massachusetts Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
North Carolina Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Tennessee Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Texas Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
Vermont Primary March 3 2020 March 3 2020
American Samoa Caucus March 3 2020 March 24 2020
Louisiana Primary March 7 2020 March 7 2020
Kansas Caucus March 7 2020 Cancelled
Kentucky Caucus May 19 2020 March 7 2020
Maine Caucus March 8 2020 March 7 2020
Puerto Rico Primary June 7 2020 March 8 2020
Missouri Primary March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Idaho Primary March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Michigan Primary March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Minnesota Caucus March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Hawaii Caucus March 28 2020 March 10 2020
Mississippi Primary March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Ohio Primary March 10 2020 March 10 2020
Virgin Islands Caucus June 6 2020 March 12 2020
Northern Marianas Convention March 14 2020 March 17 2020
District of Columbia Convention June 6 2020 March 14 2020
Guam Caucus May 2 2020 March 14 2020
Wyoming Convention April 11 2020 March 14 2020
Arizona Primary March 17 2020 March 17 2020
Florida Primary March 17 2020 March 17 2020
Illinois Primary March 17 2020 March 17 2020
Utah Caucus March 24 2020 March 24 2020
Washington Caucus March 26 2020 March 26 2020
Alaska Caucus March 28 2020 March 28 2020
North Dakota Convention June 2 2020 April 3 2020
Wisconsin Primary April 7 2020 April 7 2020
Connecticut Primary April 28 2020 April 28 2020
Delaware Primary April 28 2020 April 28 2020
Maryland Primary April 28 2020 April 28 2020
Pennsylvania Primary April 28 2020 April 28 2020
Rhode Island Primary April 28 2020 April 28 2020
Indiana Primary May 5 2020 May 5 2020
Nebraska Primary May 12 2020 May 12 2020
West Virginia May 12 2020 May 12 2020
Arkansas Primary May 19 2020 May 19 2020
Oregon Primary May 19 2020 May 19 2020
Montana Primary June 2 2020 June 2 2020
New Jersey Primary June 2 2020 June 2 2020
New Mexico Primary June 2 2020 June 2 2020
South Dakota Primary June 2 2020 June 2 2020

2020 State Primary FAQs

What are the voting types for state primaries and caucus events?

There are typically four categories of voting rules for state primaries and caucus events.  These rules are applied at the pleasure of each state legislature according to individual state election rules and vary from region to region.  The four voting types include the following:

Open Primary – All registered voters may place their vote for any party, regardless of which party you are registered or associated with.  You may only vote for one party.

Closed Primary – Each party primary is only open to the party’s registered voters.  Republicans can only vote for Republicans, and Democrats can only vote for Democrats.  Independents and other party members are not allowed to vote unless they have an eligible candidate representing their party.

Semi-open Primary – All registered voters are free to vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation.  Voters must request a ballot for the party candidate that they intend to vote for.

Semi-closed Primary – Voting is open to any registered party member or unaffiliated voter.  Some states require voters to register with the party that they are voting for on Election Day.  In this case, voters may change their affiliation on the spot to support a candidate that is a member of another party.  Some states allow this to be done in the privacy of the voting booth when voting.

What is the difference between a caucus and a primary?

A state primary is a process by which each state votes for the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees.  The state’s election rules determine if the primary voting process is open, closed, semi-open or semi-closed.  The state is awarded a specific number of delegates to be passed on to the winners.  Some states are a ‘winner take all’ situation while others proportionally award delegates based on the results of the top 2 or 3 candidates.

A caucus is a little different.  Some caucuses still have actual voting taking place, while other states use a bit more complicated method.  Sixteen states hold caucuses rather than primaries.  A caucus is a local meeting that takes place in a town, city or county, where registered party members vote either through ballot or presence for the party candidate of their choice. 

Each voter selects a group to support and physically attends a rally or meeting to show their support and discuss the candidate.  Campaigns that do not meet the minimum threshold for the number of supporters are typically disbanded.  In other words, those candidates that do not have a strong showing of supporters often end their campaign following the event.

Who can bet on state primaries and caucuses?

Unlike closed state primaries, you are not tied to your affiliated political party when placing bets on the outcome of the election.  You can bet on any candidate from any party.  You can also bet on any state primary or caucus, you are not limited to only the election options in the state that you live in. 

The candidate you love and are voting for may not be the candidate you bet on.  For voting purposes, you want to listen to the candidates and what they have to say.  For betting, you want to follow the odds and market predictions to determine who has the best chance at winning – regardless of how you personally feel about them as a qualified candidate.

Are the odds and/or polls always right?

We’d have to say no to this.  Take Iowa in 2016 for example. The polls and the odds favored Trump to win by a significant margin in Iowa.  However, Cruz was the winner of the state’s Republican caucus.  

Nobody can accurately predict voting results 100% of the time when there are so many variables in play.  Polls are often released using extremely small samples of people or are skewed purposely by voters.  None of it is 100% reliable, but that’s why they call it gambling.  Don’t discount your ‘gut feeling’ when placing your bets.