**Coronavirus Update: It is likely that the Coronavirus pandemic will affect state primary and caucus events. In addition, new betting odds are being offered on various elements of impact from COVID-19 relevant to the upcoming state elections and the 2020 Presidential election, including odds on which states will have to postpone their state elections due to the Coronavirus pandemic.
We have created a Coronavirus political betting guide to provide information on how the virus is impacting Presidential election odds and the new betting options that have surfaced relevant to the state elections.
Betting odds for state primary elections and caucus events will not be available until we are within closer proximity to the actual Presidential Election season. All states have until October, 2019 to submit their delegate submission rules, and at least four states are opting out and canceling their Republican state primary elections.
This is not terribly uncommon when a party has an incumbent with strong support. Many times it comes down to cost since the party has to pay for the events and does not deem it cost effective to hold the event when the sitting President carries overwhelming support among the base.
The odds and betting lines for the primary elections in individual states begin to become more prevalent after the delegate rules are made official and the field of 2020 Presidential candidates is narrowed down a bit more.
Sportsbooks are currently offering futures betting lines for a variety of other political betting categories. Not only can you bet on which candidate will win the general election, but you can also bet on who will receive the nomination for both the Republican and Democratic parties, and which party will win the overall election. You will even find lines on whether or not Trump will be impeached prior to the election.
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The 2020 Democratic primary season is finally underway, and we have the up-to-date delegate allotment listed below. As more and more results come in over the coming weeks, the DNC landscape is sure to come into focus. Additionally, betting lines on each Democratic candidate are going to move after each primary/caucus result, so take that into account if you’re putting money on the line.
Delegate Count As Of March 18, 2020:
|Candidate||Delegates (1,990 to win)|
The following candidates earned delegates in 2020 but have dropped out of the race:
Following you will see a listing of each US State with a link to view the state primary odds, dates and other relevant information for each of them. Once polling figures are circulating, we will also provide a look at those as well.
The following states have yet to hold their primary elections and caucuses but have betting odds posted (via Bovada). Make sure to get your wagers in ASAP, as these lines change daily!
If you don’t see these states listed, it’s temporary and means the bookmaker has taken odds down to reestablish new lines in light of prior elections. Always check back regularly!
The betting odds for state primaries associated with the 2020 Presidential election will become more active once it is clear which states are participating on the Republican side, and which candidates are still kicking on the Democrat side. As the United States systematically undergoes the state by state process that will ultimately determine the winner of the presidential nomination for both the Democrats and Republicans, the odds, polls, and betting lines resonate the ebb and flow of the voice of the American people.
Here we are focused on assisting gamblers who enjoy political betting in managing the massive amounts of information and events so that they can enjoy instant access to state primary betting lines. The lines will include both state primaries and caucuses and will represent the participating parties.
Not every primary or caucus is always covered at all sportsbooks. Also please keep in mind that the data on this calendar is subject to change according to the regulations and policies of each state. We will do our best to always keep it updated. State pages will also include information on relevant Senate and House of Representative elections, as well as any Gubernatorial races. The 2020 state general elections will see a total of 31 Congressional seats up for grabs?
|Party Convention||July 13-16 2020||Aug 24-27 2020|
|Iowa Caucus||February 3 2020||Feb 3 2020|
|New Hampshire Primary||February 11 2020||February 11 2020|
|South Carolina Primary||February 29 2020||Cancelled|
|Nevada Caucus||February 22 2020||Cancelled|
|Colorado Primary||April 18 2020||March 2020|
|Alabama Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|California Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Oklahoma Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Virginia Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Georgia Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Massachusetts Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|North Carolina Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Tennessee Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Texas Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|Vermont Primary||March 3 2020||March 3 2020|
|American Samoa Caucus||March 3 2020||March 24 2020|
|Louisiana Primary||March 7 2020||March 7 2020|
|Kansas Caucus||March 7 2020||Cancelled|
|Kentucky Caucus||May 19 2020||March 7 2020|
|Maine Caucus||March 8 2020||March 7 2020|
|Puerto Rico Primary||June 7 2020||March 8 2020|
|Missouri Primary||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Idaho Primary||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Michigan Primary||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Minnesota Caucus||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Hawaii Caucus||March 28 2020||March 10 2020|
|Mississippi Primary||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Ohio Primary||March 10 2020||March 10 2020|
|Virgin Islands Caucus||June 6 2020||March 12 2020|
|Northern Marianas Convention||March 14 2020||March 17 2020|
|District of Columbia Convention||June 6 2020||March 14 2020|
|Guam Caucus||May 2 2020||March 14 2020|
|Wyoming Convention||April 11 2020||March 14 2020|
|Arizona Primary||March 17 2020||March 17 2020|
|Florida Primary||March 17 2020||March 17 2020|
|Illinois Primary||March 17 2020||March 17 2020|
|Utah Caucus||March 24 2020||March 24 2020|
|Washington Caucus||March 26 2020||March 26 2020|
|Alaska Caucus||March 28 2020||March 28 2020|
|North Dakota Convention||June 2 2020||April 3 2020|
|Wisconsin Primary||April 7 2020||April 7 2020|
|Connecticut Primary||April 28 2020||April 28 2020|
|Delaware Primary||April 28 2020||April 28 2020|
|Maryland Primary||April 28 2020||April 28 2020|
|Pennsylvania Primary||April 28 2020||April 28 2020|
|Rhode Island Primary||April 28 2020||April 28 2020|
|Indiana Primary||May 5 2020||May 5 2020|
|Nebraska Primary||May 12 2020||May 12 2020|
|West Virginia||May 12 2020||May 12 2020|
|Arkansas Primary||May 19 2020||May 19 2020|
|Oregon Primary||May 19 2020||May 19 2020|
|Montana Primary||June 2 2020||June 2 2020|
|New Jersey Primary||June 2 2020||June 2 2020|
|New Mexico Primary||June 2 2020||June 2 2020|
|South Dakota Primary||June 2 2020||June 2 2020|
There are typically four categories of voting rules for state primaries and caucus events. These rules are applied at the pleasure of each state legislature according to individual state election rules and vary from region to region. The four voting types include the following:
Open Primary – All registered voters may place their vote for any party, regardless of which party you are registered or associated with. You may only vote for one party.
Closed Primary – Each party primary is only open to the party’s registered voters. Republicans can only vote for Republicans, and Democrats can only vote for Democrats. Independents and other party members are not allowed to vote unless they have an eligible candidate representing their party.
Semi-open Primary – All registered voters are free to vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation. Voters must request a ballot for the party candidate that they intend to vote for.
Semi-closed Primary – Voting is open to any registered party member or unaffiliated voter. Some states require voters to register with the party that they are voting for on Election Day. In this case, voters may change their affiliation on the spot to support a candidate that is a member of another party. Some states allow this to be done in the privacy of the voting booth when voting.
A state primary is a process by which each state votes for the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees. The state’s election rules determine if the primary voting process is open, closed, semi-open or semi-closed. The state is awarded a specific number of delegates to be passed on to the winners. Some states are a ‘winner take all’ situation while others proportionally award delegates based on the results of the top 2 or 3 candidates.
A caucus is a little different. Some caucuses still have actual voting taking place, while other states use a bit more complicated method. Sixteen states hold caucuses rather than primaries. A caucus is a local meeting that takes place in a town, city or county, where registered party members vote either through ballot or presence for the party candidate of their choice.
Each voter selects a group to support and physically attends a rally or meeting to show their support and discuss the candidate. Campaigns that do not meet the minimum threshold for the number of supporters are typically disbanded. In other words, those candidates that do not have a strong showing of supporters often end their campaign following the event.
Unlike closed state primaries, you are not tied to your affiliated political party when placing bets on the outcome of the election. You can bet on any candidate from any party. You can also bet on any state primary or caucus, you are not limited to only the election options in the state that you live in.
The candidate you love and are voting for may not be the candidate you bet on. For voting purposes, you want to listen to the candidates and what they have to say. For betting, you want to follow the odds and market predictions to determine who has the best chance at winning – regardless of how you personally feel about them as a qualified candidate.
We’d have to say no to this. Take Iowa in 2016 for example. The polls and the odds favored Trump to win by a significant margin in Iowa. However, Cruz was the winner of the state’s Republican caucus.
Nobody can accurately predict voting results 100% of the time when there are so many variables in play. Polls are often released using extremely small samples of people or are skewed purposely by voters. None of it is 100% reliable, but that’s why they call it gambling. Don’t discount your ‘gut feeling’ when placing your bets.