State Primary And Electoral College Election Odds For 2020

State Primary And Electoral College Election Odds For 2020

State Primary And General Election Betting Odds For The 2020 Presidency

2020 Presidential Election Update (11/4): It looks mathematically likely that Joe Biden will win the Presidential election. While you can still bet on the outcomes in several important swing states, the odds of a Trump victory are slim to none. That said, the election will not be certified or finalized until all states formally cast their electoral votes in December. 

The state primary elections are behind us, and the November general is nearly over (though some states still have to tally up their votes). Sportsbooks, naturally, have lately been focusing on the general election cycle and the Presidential campaigns between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Of course, there were other 2020 Presidential candidates running for office, but just like voters, oddsmakers seem to favor two-party politics when offering betting odds on state primary or general election cycles for POTUS.

Sportsbooks offered a host of futures betting lines for a variety of other political betting categories in 2020 as well. Not only could you bet on which candidate would win the general election, but you could also bet on how each candidate would fare in the electoral college voting in each state. Books were mostly focused on battleground states, but as November 3 came and went, all states were on the boards at the best books.

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State Primary Election Delays

Due to the coronavirus outbreak, several states delayed or restructured their primary elections. Despite the fact that Joe Biden and Donald Trump were already the presumptive nominees for the Democratic and Republican parties, the states still mostly held their primaries as usual (or under modified formats as a result of the pandemic).

2020 Democratic Primary Delegate Tracker

The following section is included here for historical purposes:

The 2020 Democratic primary season is finally underway, and we have the up-to-date delegate allotment listed below. As more and more results come in over the coming weeks, the DNC landscape is sure to come into focus. Additionally, betting lines on each Democratic candidate are going to move after each primary/caucus result, so take that into account if you’re putting money on the line.

Delegate Count As Of July 29, 2020:

CandidateDelegates (1,990 to win)
Joe Biden2627

The following candidates earned delegates in 2020 but have dropped out of the race:

  • Bernie Sanders: 1086
  • Elizabeth Warren: 53
  • Michael Bloomberg: 46
  • Pete Buttigieg: 15
  • Amy Klobuchar: 5
  • Tulsi Gabbard: 2

Note: Joe Biden now has enough delegates to secure the nomination, but he still needs to be confirmed at the DNC National Convention, and there is a very small chance that the party could choose a different candidate. However, given Biden’s polling and betting odds, it seems unlikely that they will do so, as he’s now favored to beat Trump in the November general. 

Latest State Betting Odds For Who Will Be The Next President Of The United States In The 2020 Election

Below, you will see a listing of each US State with a link to view the state primary odds, dates and other relevant information for each of them. Once polling figures are circulating, we will also provide a look at those as well.

PEO Map AK AL AR AZ CA CO CT DC DE FL GA HI IA ID IL IN KS KY LA MA MD ME MI MN MO MS MT NC ND NE NH NJ NM NV NY OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VA VT WA WI WV WY

2020 Electoral College Betting Odds – Swing States

While betting is now closed for all but a few remaining swing states, the electoral odds for each state were finalized on November 3 as the following:

Via Bovada

Arizona (AZ)

  • Democratic Candidate -170
  • Republican Candidate +130

Colorado (CO)

  • Democratic Candidate -1500
  • Republican Candidate +675

Florida (FL)

  • Democratic Candidate -160
  • Republican Candidate +120

Georgia (GA)

  • Republican Candidate -165
  • Democratic Candidate +125

Iowa (IA)

  • Republican Candidate -170
  • Democratic Candidate +130

Michigan (MI)

  • Democratic Candidate -330
  • Republican Candidate +235

Minnesota (MN)

  • Democratic Candidate -475
  • Republican Candidate +320

Nevada (NV)

  • Democratic Candidate -650
  • Republican Candidate +400

New Hampshire (NH)

  • Democratic Candidate -450
  • Republican Candidate +300

North Carolina (NC)

  • Democratic Candidate -145
  • Republican Candidate +110

Ohio (OH)

  • Republican Candidate -145
  • Democratic Candidate +110

Pennsylvania (PA)

  • Democratic Candidate -300
  • Republican Candidate +220

Texas (TX)

  • Republican Candidate -240
  • Democratic Candidate +175

Virginia (VA)

  • Democratic Candidate -1000
  • Republican Candidate +550

Wisconsin (WI)

  • Democratic Candidate -275
  • Republican Candidate +200

2020 Electoral College Betting Odds – All States

Via BetOnline

Alabama

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

Alaska

  • Republican -550
  • Democrat +400

Arizona

  • Democrat -170
  • Republican +140

Arkansas

  • Republican -900
  • Democrat +600

California

  • Democrat -1600
  • Republican +1100

Colorado

  • Democrat -1000
  • Republican +700

Connecticut

  • Democrat -1200
  • Republican +800

Delaware

  • Democrat -1100
  • Republican +800

Florida

  • Democrat -200
  • Republican +160

Georgia

  • Republican -130
  • Democrat +100

Hawaii

  • Democrat -2500
  • Republican +1200

Idaho

  • Republican -3300
  • Democrat +1400

Illinois

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +1200

Indiana

  • Republican -800
  • Democrat +550

Kansas

  • Republican -1000
  • Democrat +700

Iowa

  • Republican -145
  • Democrat +115

Kentucky

  • Republican -1200
  • Democrat +900

Louisiana

  • Republican -1200
  • Democrat +900

Maine

  • Democrat -500
  • Republican +375

Maryland

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +1200

Massachusetts

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

Michigan

  • Democrat -450
  • Republican +350

Minnesota

  • Democrat -600
  • Republican +425

Mississippi

  • Republican -1500
  • Democrat +1000

Missouri

  • Republican -550
  • Democrat +400

Montana

  • Republican -600
  • Democrat +425

Nebraska

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +1200

Nevada

  • Democrat -650
  • Republican +475

New Hampshire

  • Democrat -375
  • Republican +300

New Jersey

  • Democrat -1000
  • Republican +700

New Mexico

  • Democrat -750
  • Republican +550

New York

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +1200

North Carolina

  • Democrat -130
  • Republican +100 (EVEN)

North Dakota

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +1200

Ohio

  • Republican -135
  • Democrat +105

Oklahoma

  • Republican -2000
  • Democrat +1200

Oregon

  • Democrat -1200
  • Republican +800

Pennsylvania

  • Democrat -280
  • Republican +220

Rhode Island

  • Democrat -1000
  • Republican +700

South Carolina

  • Republican -800
  • Democrat +550

South Dakota

  • Republican -1400
  • Democrat +1000

Tennessee

  • Republican -1400
  • Democrat +1000

Texas

  • Republican -225
  • Democrat +185

Utah

  • Republican -600
  • Democrat +425

Vermont

  • Democrat -2000
  • Republican +1200

Virginia

  • Democrat -800
  • Republican +550

Washington

  • Democrat -1500
  • Republican +1000

West Virginia

  • Republican -1400
  • Democrat +1000

Wisconsin

  • Democrat -250
  • Republican +200

Wyoming

  • Republican -2500
  • Democrat +1400

2020 Democratic Primary Odds By State

In 2020, most online election betting sites were offering only limited action on primary contests. This was likely because presumptive nominee Joe Biden and incumbent Donald Trump were ultimately running unopposed for the majority of the primary season.


Recent News Headlines For State Primaries & Candidates


State Primary & General Election Betting Odds For The 2020 Presidential Race

The betting odds for state primaries associated with the 2020 Presidential election became more active once it was clear which states were participating on the Republican side, and which candidates were still kicking on the Democrat side. As the United States systematically underwent the state by state process that ultimately determined the winner of the presidential nomination for both the Democrats and Republicans, the odds, polls, and betting lines reflected the ebb and flow of the voice of the American people.

Here we are focused on assisting gamblers who enjoy political betting in managing the massive amounts of information and events so that they can enjoy instant access to state primary betting lines. Such lines will usually include both state primaries and caucuses and represent the participating parties.

Not every primary or caucus is always covered at all sportsbooks. Also please keep in mind that the data on any election calendar is subject to change according to the regulations and policies of each state. State pages also include information on relevant Senate and House of Representative elections, as well as any Gubernatorial races.

2020 State Primary Election and Caucus Calendar

StateDemocratRepublican
Party ConventionJuly 13-16 2020Aug 24-27 2020
Iowa CaucusFebruary 3 2020Feb 3 2020
New Hampshire PrimaryFebruary 11 2020February 11 2020
South Carolina PrimaryFebruary 29 2020Cancelled
Nevada CaucusFebruary 22 2020Cancelled
Colorado PrimaryApril 18 2020March 2020
Alabama PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
California PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Oklahoma PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Virginia PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Georgia PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Massachusetts PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
North Carolina PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Tennessee PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Texas PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
Vermont PrimaryMarch 3 2020March 3 2020
American Samoa CaucusMarch 3 2020March 24 2020
Louisiana PrimaryMarch 7 2020March 7 2020
Kansas CaucusMarch 7 2020Cancelled
Kentucky CaucusMay 19 2020March 7 2020
Maine CaucusMarch 8 2020March 7 2020
Puerto Rico PrimaryJune 7 2020March 8 2020
Missouri PrimaryMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Idaho PrimaryMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Michigan PrimaryMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Minnesota CaucusMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Hawaii CaucusMarch 28 2020March 10 2020
Mississippi PrimaryMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Ohio PrimaryMarch 10 2020March 10 2020
Virgin Islands CaucusJune 6 2020March 12 2020
Northern Marianas ConventionMarch 14 2020March 17 2020
District of Columbia ConventionJune 6 2020March 14 2020
Guam CaucusMay 2 2020March 14 2020
Wyoming ConventionApril 11 2020March 14 2020
Arizona PrimaryMarch 17 2020March 17 2020
Florida PrimaryMarch 17 2020March 17 2020
Illinois PrimaryMarch 17 2020March 17 2020
Utah CaucusMarch 24 2020March 24 2020
Washington CaucusMarch 26 2020March 26 2020
Alaska CaucusMarch 28 2020March 28 2020
North Dakota ConventionJune 2 2020April 3 2020
Wisconsin PrimaryApril 7 2020April 7 2020
Connecticut PrimaryApril 28 2020April 28 2020
Delaware PrimaryApril 28 2020April 28 2020
Maryland PrimaryApril 28 2020April 28 2020
Pennsylvania PrimaryApril 28 2020April 28 2020
Rhode Island PrimaryApril 28 2020April 28 2020
Indiana PrimaryMay 5 2020May 5 2020
Nebraska PrimaryMay 12 2020May 12 2020
West VirginiaMay 12 2020May 12 2020
Arkansas PrimaryMay 19 2020May 19 2020
Oregon PrimaryMay 19 2020May 19 2020
Montana PrimaryJune 2 2020June 2 2020
New Jersey PrimaryJune 2 2020June 2 2020
New Mexico PrimaryJune 2 2020June 2 2020
South Dakota PrimaryJune 2 2020June 2 2020

2020 State Primary FAQs

What are the voting types for state primaries and caucus events?

There are typically four categories of voting rules for state primaries and caucus events.  These rules are applied at the pleasure of each state legislature according to individual state election rules and vary from region to region.  The four voting types include the following:

Open Primary – All registered voters may place their vote for any party, regardless of which party you are registered or associated with.  You may only vote for one party.

Closed Primary – Each party primary is only open to the party’s registered voters.  Republicans can only vote for Republicans, and Democrats can only vote for Democrats.  Independents and other party members are not allowed to vote unless they have an eligible candidate representing their party.

Semi-open Primary – All registered voters are free to vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation.  Voters must request a ballot for the party candidate that they intend to vote for.

Semi-closed Primary – Voting is open to any registered party member or unaffiliated voter.  Some states require voters to register with the party that they are voting for on Election Day.  In this case, voters may change their affiliation on the spot to support a candidate that is a member of another party.  Some states allow this to be done in the privacy of the voting booth when voting.

What is the difference between a caucus and a primary?

A state primary is a process by which each state votes for the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees.  The state’s election rules determine if the primary voting process is open, closed, semi-open or semi-closed.  The state is awarded a specific number of delegates to be passed on to the winners.  Some states are a ‘winner take all’ situation while others proportionally award delegates based on the results of the top 2 or 3 candidates.

A caucus is a little different.  Some caucuses still have actual voting taking place, while other states use a bit more complicated method.  Sixteen states hold caucuses rather than primaries.  A caucus is a local meeting that takes place in a town, city or county, where registered party members vote either through ballot or presence for the party candidate of their choice. 

Each voter selects a group to support and physically attends a rally or meeting to show their support and discuss the candidate.  Campaigns that do not meet the minimum threshold for the number of supporters are typically disbanded.  In other words, those candidates that do not have a strong showing of supporters often end their campaign following the event.

Who can bet on state primaries and caucuses?

Unlike closed state primaries, you are not tied to your affiliated political party when placing bets on the outcome of the election.  You can bet on any candidate from any party.  You can also bet on any state primary or caucus, you are not limited to only the election options in the state that you live in. 

The candidate you love and are voting for may not be the candidate you bet on.  For voting purposes, you want to listen to the candidates and what they have to say.  For betting, you want to follow the odds and market predictions to determine who has the best chance at winning – regardless of how you personally feel about them as a qualified candidate.

Are the odds and/or polls always right?

We’d have to say no to this.  Take Iowa in 2016 for example. The polls and the odds favored Trump to win by a significant margin in Iowa.  However, Cruz was the winner of the state’s Republican caucus.  

Nobody can accurately predict voting results 100% of the time when there are so many variables in play.  Polls are often released using extremely small samples of people or are skewed purposely by voters.  None of it is 100% reliable, but that’s why they call it gambling.  Don’t discount your ‘gut feeling’ when placing your bets.