States

State Betting Odds For Winning The General Election On November 8th, 2016

With just a few days left to go until the general election, the sportsbooks are going nuts with the different types of political wagers being offered.  Not only can you bet on which candidate will win the general election, you can also bet on numerous prop bets such as which candidate will win the popular vote in a certain state.

Below we offer the current vegas betting odds for each candidate to win a specific state in the general election.  So whether you want to know what the odds are for Hillary Clinton to win California in the general election or you want to know what the Vegas odds are for Donald Trump to win Florida, we’ve got you covered.

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State Primary & General Election Betting Odds  For The 2016 Presidential Race

The betting odds for state primaries associated with the 2016 Presidential election are a hot commodity for political buffs right now.  As the United States systematically undergoes the state by state process that will ultimately determine the winner of the presidential nomination for both the democrats and republicans, the odds, polls and betting lines resonate the ebb and flow of the voice of the American people. This guide was created to assist gamblers who enjoy political betting in managing the massive amounts of information and events so that they can enjoy instant access to state primary betting lines.  These lines will include both state primaries and caucuses and will represent both participating parties.

This page of our guide will provide insight into which states have already held events and which ones are coming up.  We will also link to a page on each state for detailed information on the participating candidates and the associated betting odds for each of them.  Lastly, we will include some FAQs for those looking for more information on state primaries and caucus events.  Not every primary or caucus is always covered at all sportsbooks.  The betting destinations we recommend in this guide offer a comprehensive selection of state primary betting odds and lines, however, it is not guaranteed that you will be able to bet on every single state.   Also please keep in mind that the data on this calendar is subject to change according to the regulations and policies of each state. We will do our best to always keep it updated. Interested in the odds for state Senate and House of Representative seats?

2016 State Primary Election and Caucus Calendar

February

Feb 1

Iowa Caucus   republican and democrats – closed

Feb 9

New Hampshire    republican and democrats  – mixed

Feb 20

Nevada Democrats    – closed

South Carolina Republican  –  open

Feb 23

Nevada Republicans   – closed

Feb 27

South Carolina democrats  – open

March

March 1 (Super Tuesday)

Alabama  –  open

Alaska Republican Caucus  – closed

American Samoa Caucus  – open

Arkansas   – open

Colorado Caucus  – closed  (republican delegates are unbound – meaning they won’t go to any candidate)

Georgia  –  open

Massachusetts  –  mixed

Minnesota  Caucus – open

Oklahoma – closed

Tennessee – open

Texas – open

Vermont – open

Virginia – open

March 1

Democrats Abroad start their 40 country voting through March 8th

March 5

Kansas Caucus – closed

Kentucky Republican Caucus – closed

Louisiana – closed

Maine Republican Caucus – closed

Nebraska Democratic Caucus – closed

March 6

Maine Democrat Caucus – closed

Puerto Rico Republican primary – open

March 8

Hawaii Republican Caucus – closed

Idaho Republican Primary – closed

Michigan – open

Mississippi – open

March 12

District of Columbia Republican Convention – closed

Northern Mariana Islands Democratic Convention – open

March 15

Florida – closed

Illinois – open

Missouri – open

Northern Mariana Islands Republican Caucus – closed

North Carolina – mixed

Ohio – mixed

March 19

Virgin Islands Republican Caucus – open

March 22

Arizona – closed

Idaho Democratic Caucus – closed

Utah – closed

March 26

Alaska Democratic Caucus – closed

Hawaii Democratic Caucus – closed

Washington State Democratic Caucus – closed

April

April 5

Wisconsin – open

April 9

Wyoming – closed

April 19

New York – closed

April 26

Connecticut – closed

Delaware – closed

Maryland – closed

Pennsylvania – closed

Rhode Island – mixed

May

May 3

Indiana – open

May 7

Guam – closed

May 10

Nebraska Republican Primary – closed

West Virginia – mixed

May 17

Kentucky Democratic Primary – closed

Oregon – closed

May 24

Washington State Republican Primary – closed

June

June 4

Virgin Islands Democratic Caucus – open

June 5

Puerto Rico Democratic Caucus – open

June 7

California – mixed

Montana – open

New Jersey – closed

New Mexico – closed

North Dakota – closed

South Dokata – closed

June 14

District of Columbia Democratic Primary – closed

State Primary FAQ’s


What are the voting types for state primaries and caucus events?

There are typically four categories of voting rules for state primaries and caucus events.  These rules are applied at the pleasure of each state legislature according to individual state election rules, and vary from region to region.  The four voting types include the following:

Open Primary – All registered voters may place their vote for any party, regardless of which party you are registered or associated with.  You may only vote for one party.

Closed Primary – Each party primary is only open to the party’s registered voters.  Republicans can only vote for republicans, and democrats can only vote for democrats.  Independents and other party members are not allowed to vote unless they have an eligible candidate representing their party.

Semi-open Primary – All registered voters are free to vote for any candidate regardless of their party affiliation.  Voters must request a ballot for the party candidate that they intend to vote for.

Semi-closed Primary – Voting is open to any registered party member or unaffiliated voter.  Some states require voters to register with the party that they are voting for on Election Day.  In this case, voters may change their affiliation on the spot to support a candidate that is a member of another party.  Some states allow this to be done in the privacy of the voting booth when voting.


What is the difference between a caucus and a primary?

A primary is the process by which each state votes for the republican and democrat presidential nominees.  The state’s election rules determine if the primary voting process is open, closed, semi-open or semi-closed.  The state is awarded a specific number of delegates to be passed on to the winners.  Some states are a ‘winner take all’ situation while others proportionally award delegates based on the results of the top 2 or 3 candidates.

A caucus is a little different.  Some caucuses still have actual voting taking place, while other states use a bit more complicated method.  Sixteen states hold caucuses rather than primaries.  A caucus is a local meeting that takes place in a town, city or county, where registered party members vote either through ballot or presence for the party candidate of their choice.  Each voter selects a group to support and physically attends a rally or meeting to show their support and discuss the candidate.  Campaigns that do not meet the minimum threshold for quantity of supporters are typically disbanded.  In other words, those candidates that do not have a strong showing of supporters often end their campaign following the event.


Who can bet on state primaries and caucuses?

Unlike closed state primaries, you are not tied to your affiliated political party when placing bets on the outcome of the election.  You can bet on any candidate from any party.  You can also bet on any state primary or caucus, you are not limited to only the election options in the state that you live in.  The candidate you love and are voting for may not be the candidate you bet on.  For voting purposes, you want to listen to the candidates and what they have to say.  For betting, you want to follow the odds and market predictions to determine who has the best chance at winning – regardless of how you personally feel about them as a qualified candidate.

Are the odds and/or polls always right?

We’d have to say no to this.  Take Iowa for example. The polls and the odds favored Trump to win by a significant margin in Iowa.  However, Cruz was the winner of the state’s republican caucus.   Nobody can accurately predict voting results 100% of the time when there are so many variables in play.  Polls are often released using extremely small samples of people or are skewed purposely by voters.  None of it is 100% reliable, but that’s why they call it gambling.  Don’t discount your ‘gut feeling’ when placing your bets.