After more than a year of anticipation, suspense, and tens of thousands of hours of combined news coverage, the Iowa Caucuses are finally upon us. While IA has a host of upcoming local and federal elections in November, the Iowa caucuses are getting top billing right now. The caucuses were held on Monday, February 3, 2020 (which is, incidentally, the day after the Super Bowl). Iowans will next be asked to perform their civic duty to vote in the 2020 Presidential Election in November.
Historically, Iowa is the first state to decide the candidates it favors to represent both the Democratic and Republican parties in each cycle’s Presidential election, and it’s often considered – along with New Hampshire – to be the most weighty vote in the entire race. Iowa is the trendsetter, and more often than not, the candidates selected there eventually come away with the nominations. In other words, whoever wins will get the best Presidential election odds going forward.
A little further down on the page you will find the results for each candidate for the Iowa Caucus and the 2020 Presidential Election odds.
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Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2020
**Odds pulled from Bovada Sportsbook.
Donald Trump handily won the 2016 Presidential election in Iowa, taking all but six counties and earning 51.15% of the popular vote. Hillary Clinton won 41.74% of the popular vote. That said, the traditionally conservative state is not considered a foregone conclusion for the GOP in 2020, so you can expect heavy campaigning in IA from both parties.
While the full results of the Iowa Democratic caucus have not been released yet, Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders are virtually tied. This means that whatever the final numbers turn out to be, it is likely the two will come away with the same number of Iowa delegates. Elizabeth Warren should earn a few scraps due to her probable third-place finish, as she’s garnered a bit better than 1/1024th of the state vote.
Though it remains possible that other candidates will pick up a delegate or two with the final count, Joe Biden’s campaign is clearly on shaky ground, and the former national front-runner is now almost certainly out of contention for the Democratic nomination.
When you look at who won the Iowa caucus in 2016 on the Democrat side, you’ll see that that candidate – Hillary Clinton (by a hair over Bernie Sanders) – went on to represent the DNC in the national election. The stakes really are that high.
The 2020 Democratic betting odds, however, are all over the place. There are several caucus contenders in the mix, including Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg, and Michael Bloomberg, to name a few. Even Andrew Yang deserves a mention, blackouts be darned!
Update: With the Iowa caucus results slowly (and painfully) trickling in, the race is neck-and-neck between Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders. Sanders is leading slightly in the popular vote, but Ex-Mayor Pete has the edge in precincts. That said, the race could go either way, though all the other candidates can consider the Iowa caucus a loss, with Joe Biden the biggest loser of all. For those who took Buttigieg at +1000 odds, a hefty payout could be looming.
In the 2016 Iowa caucuses, in a heavily contested field, Ted Cruz edged out Donald Trump, though The Donald took New Hampshire easily and never looked back. Had Trump not finished so close to Cruz in Iowa, however, he likely would not be President today. That’s how important this race is, and that’s why you’ll find Iowa caucus betting odds at every major offshore betting site.
This year, the Republican nominee is all but guaranteed to be President Trump (which you can see on the GOP odds boards), as he’s the incumbent and has record party support. Most sites are thus not offering Iowa caucus odds on Trump.
Update: Trump won the Iowa Republican caucus easily, taking 97% of the vote. Trump is thus allotted 39 delegates, while challenger Bill Weld received 1 delegate. Joe Walsh received 0 delegates.
Odds are finally available for the 2020 Iowa Presidential Caucus (see above), and as the nation’s biggest primary event approaches, the best political betting sites all have comprehensive lines for it. Of course, you aren’t just limited to wagering on caucuses and primaries, as there are several other fun categories of election odds to choose from, including Trump impeachment betting and other political specials.