The State of the Union (SOTU) is an address which provides the current administration’s plans for legislation and view of the current state of the nation. The most recent SOTU address was on February 5, 2019. Betting on the State of the Union has become an active category for political betting markets, as the event is typically an annual affair. In fact, State of the Union betting odds and betting lines have become ever more popular with the advancement of technology.
Historically, Presidents were never required to deliver the address in person. In fact, many simply wrote their addresses and did not make the trek to the Capitol to give their speeches. Such Presidents employing this tack included:
However, including Trump’s SOTU address on February 5, 2019, there have been 96 in-person State of the Union addresses delivered by a sitting President. The basis for addressing the nation is written within and mandated by the U.S. Constitution.
The typical procedure for the State of the Union address consists of the speaker of the House of Representatives inviting the President to appear before the two Congressional Houses to give his/her speech.
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There are typically multiple betting lines available for the SOTU address. Around every New Year, SOTU odds are posted by sportsbooks looking to provide political betting lines. Once those odds are posted, we will share them here.
Political betting is legal in the US if done through either licensed and regulated offshore sportsbooks. Domestic sportsbooks currently do not offer political odds, which include SOTU odds.
However, licensed and regulated offshore online sportsbooks almost always provide political betting odds for SOTU prop bets, futures, and more. Keep in mind also that sportsbooks may only put these odds up a few days before a scheduled SOTU address, possibly updating their boards with new odds and lines every few hours.
During the start of our nation’s development, our first president, George Washington, became the first to fulfill this constitutional tradition in 1790 with an in-person address to Congress in the Senate Chamber of Federal Hall in the old U.S. Capital, New York City. The SOTU address was known only as the Annual Message in 1790 and kept that moniker until 1946. Thomas Jefferson, our nation’s third president, broke the mold and was the first to deliver his Annual Message to Congress in writing.
Written Annual Messages became more commonplace after that. Woodrow Wilson altered that tradition after reigniting the in-person delivery mode in 1913. The Annual Message would later be called the State of the Union under Franklin D. Roosevelt’s administration.
Naturally, technological developments have played a big role in how SOTU addresses were/are pushed out to the public at large.
The most recent State of the Union address by Donald Trump in 2019 received 46.79 million viewers through the four major cable networks airing it. Trump’s State of the Union address in 2019 received more views than Obama’s SOTU address in 2011 (42.79 million viewers) and Clinton’s SOTU address in 1995 (42.2 million viewers). However, George W. Bush’s SOTU address in 2003 got 62 million viewers during the invasion of Iraq, making Bush’s the most-watched SOTU address of all time.
Typical State of the Union bets made available through licensed sportsbooks include prop bets like thew following:
Though these topics might seem broad, offshore political betting sites will always post specific guidelines to help inform your wagers.