2019 U.S. Political Betting Guide

2019 U.S. Political Betting Guide

Betting On Politics: Odds, Lines, Futures and Prop Bets

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Political betting odds are not solely available just for the major elections. Whenever any U.S. politician for either the Republicans or Democrats makes his or her agenda public, such as making a speech, participating in the debates, or attempting to pass a bill, oddsmakers waste no time posting a variety of betting odds surrounding the upcoming event. Odds also emerge for political events such as a government shutdown or scandal.

The public can then wager on the prop bets and lines for the event which provides a great opportunity to those who love betting on politics since it allows you to increase the size of your bankroll in-between the two biggest political seasons: The midterm election and the presidential election.

And with things heating up between the two political parties in 2019, you can expect to see hundreds of odds on betting lines and prop bets pop up throughout the year and heading into next year for the 2020 presidential election.

Below you’ll find our recommended betting sites, legal information, and a guide on what you need to know before betting on politics in the United States.

Our Recommended Political Betting Sites

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Current Betting Odds Available on Politics in the United States

Here you’ll find all the political betting odds that are currently available at Bovada and are receiving action in the United States. All the odds, lines, and prop bets in this section will change any time a Republican or Democrat receives a betting option from the oddsmakers at our recommended betting sites.

This page primarily covers odds for prop bets, futures, and other options to bet on politics in between the major elections. You can find the political betting odds for winning specific major elections on these pages:


Political Betting Guide – What You Need To Know

Before casting your wager in the political betting scene, there are a few important differences that you should be aware of when betting on politics.

What is political betting?

Political betting is the act of placing money on whether something will or will not occur during an event in politics. Speeches, announcements, legislation, hearings, campaigns, and elections are some examples of what receives betting odds.

Is it legal to bet on politics in the United States?

Yes. There is not a single federal or state law that prevents someone in the United States from betting on any political odds, and Americans who are age 18 and up can sign up and register at the betting sites we recommend you use when placing a bet on any politician.

When do odds on politics become available?

When something important will happen or is expected to happen. Odds on the election are almost always available — even immediately after the midterms or presidential election — but odds on things such as the President’s State of the Union address or whether the government will be shut down are made available days or weeks before the event takes place.

What are political futures bets?

A wager on political futures is a bet made in advance of an outcome being known to gain a better payout from the odds. The midterm elections and the presidential election are great examples of political futures and because there are two years in-between the two events, it creates a lot of uncertainty, but a higher payout as a result. Political futures are arguably the most common type of bet placed on politics since election season, in general, gains the most attention from both the media and the public.

Example:

What Party Will Win The 2020 Election?

Republican -115
Democrat -105

What are political prop bets?

A political proposition bet or “prop bet” is a wager placed on the likelihood something will or will not occur on anything relating to politics but isn’t directly related to the event occurring. Things like over/under the length of a speech and how many times a word will be said during a speech are some of the common lines found in the political prop bet market.

How does betting on politics differ from sports betting?

The biggest difference is that because the majority of political odds (excluding the election) are available for only a couple days, sharp action can heavily influence the price of a line at any moment, meaning placing a bet the moment you think the odds are in your favor is paramount. Odds on sports level out after the opening line but political lines can swing at any moment.

When is the best time to bet on politics?

Right before the oddsmakers change the odds due to something becoming more likely. An example would be the 2016 presidential election when Republican Donald Trump was the underdog heading into the night but once he won Ohio, the odds flipped in his favor. If you bet any time before he was called the winner of Ohio, then you made a nice return on your investment that night.


Current Political Prop Bets – Democratic Debate (Sept. 12th)

Candidate will be tweeted about most during debate

Elizabeth Warren +225
Bernie Sanders +300
Andrew Yang +400
Kamala Harris +400
Pete Buttigieg +500
Joe Biden +700
Beto O’Rourke +750
Julian Castro +1000
Cory Booker +1000
Amy Klobuchar +1600

Candidate will receive the most speaking time

Elizabeth Warren +225
Joe Biden +250
Bernie Sanders +400
Beto O’Rourke +400
Pete Buttigieg +600
Kamala Harris +600
Cory Booker +1000
Julian Castro +1000
Andrew Yang +1000
Amy Klobuchar +1600

How many non-facts will be said by candidates?

Over 6½ non-facts -120
Under 6½ non-facts -120

How many non-facts will be said by Joe Biden?

Over 1½ non-facts -120
Under 1½ non-facts -120

How many times will “background checks” be said?

Over 5½ background checks -120
Under 5½ background checks -120

How many times will “climate change” be said?

Over 13½ climate change -120
Under 13½ climate change -120

How many times will “Dorian” be said?

Over 2½ Dorian -110
Under 2½ Dorian -130

How many times will “recession” be said?

Over 5½ recession -110
Under 5½ recession -130

How many times will “Russia” be said?

Over 3½ Russia -110
Under 3½ Russia -130

How many times will “socialist” be said?

Over 1½ Socialist -110
Under 1½ Socialist -130

How many times will “Trump” be said?

Over 28½ Trump -140
Under 28½ Trump +100

How many times will moderators said “time is up”?

Over 3½ time is up -110
Under 3½ time is up -130

How many times will Pres.Trump tweet during debate

Over 3½ tweet -110
Under 3½ tweet -130

Location of October Democratic Debate

Cleveland +200
Columbus +200
Cincinnati +600
Kent +800
Youngstown +700
Dayton +850
Toledo +1000
Akron +1200

The most searched candidate during debate?

Joe Biden +250
Andrew Yang +350
Pete Buttigieg +350
Elizabeth Warren +400
Beto O’Rourke +500
Kamala Harris +500
Cory Booker +750
Bernie Sanders +750
Julian Castro +1800
Amy Klobuchar +1800

Which topic will receive the most debate time?

Gun Control +250
Health Care +300
Immigration +350
Economy +400
Climate Change +500
Foreign Policy +600
Civil Rights +1000

Who will have higher national poll avg. on 9/19/19

Bernie Sanders +140
Elizabeth Warren -180

Will “impeach” be said by any candidate?

Yes -200
No +150

Will “Trump” be said in closing statement?

Yes -200
No +150

Will “Trump” be said in opening statement?

Yes -105
No -135

Will any candidate say a curse word or be bleeped?

Yes +450
No -900

Will Beto O’Rourke speak in Spanish?

Yes -450
No +275

Will Julian Castro speak in Spanish?

Yes -450
No +275

Will the debate be interrupted by a protester?

Yes +210
No -325

*All prop bets seen on this page are available at BetOnline


Additional Political Betting Resources