It’s that time of year again, folks. With the 2024 Presidential primary season kicking off in earnest, the political odds are finally even. The
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2024 Presidential Election Update: Donald Trump declared to run for the White House in 2024 in the aftermath of the 2022 midterm election cycle. Currently, Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis are neck and neck atop both the GOP primary odds boards and the 2024 Presidential election odds.
Donald Trump was the United States’ 45th President. Trump ran for President in 2016 as a Republican and eventually lost his reelection bid to Joe Biden in 2020. Trump is running for President again in 2024, but his polling numbers and popularity appear to be waning among GOP voters.
Before becoming POTUS, Trump was best known for his real estate development and reality television appearances. Ever since Trump took office, the best online sportsbooks have had non-stop Trump odds for every imaginable political betting market, which continues even as Trump is once again a private citizen.
It is safe to say that Trump was the most bet-on (and bet-against) President in US history. Today, you will find reelection odds for Donald Trump Sr., as well as 2024 Presidential odds for his kids, including Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump.
Based on the available data from the most recent pair of Presidential elections (2016, 2020) and various research centers, we can draw a target voter base Trump appeals to, which includes:
The President’s wide appeal to a range of mainstream Republican and Independent platforms is one of the reasons why the Trump reelection odds were initially so high despite the economic havoc wreaked by the current coronavirus outbreak. Those dwindled down the stretch as Biden became the favorite, however.
Odds for winning the 2024 Republican nomination had placed Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as the front-runner, but Trump has recently regained the lead. That could chance if and when DeSantis declares his 2024 candidacy.
Despite losing his reelection bid, Trump is only narrowly ahead of DeSantis in the odds of winning the GOP primaries in 2024, and all the sportsbooks are taking action on those election chances now.
The one major Trump storyline (outside of the August 8, 2022, FBI raid of Mar-a-Lago) is Trump vs. DeSantis in 2024. While Trump is the most popular Republican politician in ages, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is a major rising star (think Barack Obama circa 2006) and has at times been ahead of the former President in the odds and polling data.
As such, it might be in DeSantis’ best interest to challenge Trump for the party nomination. Naturally, there will be betting odds on Trump v. DeSantis in the near future, and there will also be lines on the chances that Trump and DeSantis join forces and run on the same ticket.
A Trump-DeSantis 2024 ticket would be extremely hard to beat, and after four years, Vice President DeSantis would be able to run for President himself. This outcome seems unlikely, however, as Trump has already begun to issue attacks on DeSantis, labeling him Ron “DeSanctimonious.”
After years of investigations, Donald Trump was formerly charged with 34 felony counts in New York state related to a payment given to Stormy Daniels in 2016 to ensure her silence regarding any romantic encounters they may or may not have had. The money was allegedly taken from campaign funds and categorized as legal fees.
If found guilty on any felony charge, Trump would be disqualified from running for office again in the future. Trump has hired a stout legal team and has a knack for avoiding convictions in the past. If Donald is forced to face the music, Ron DeSantis would likely become the instant front-runner for not only the GOP nomination, but to win the White House in 2024.
On August 8, 2022, the FBI conducted a controversial raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property in Florida. This, naturally, has been criticized by the GOP as being politically motivated and baseless, while the Democrats have seized on the events in an effort to prevent a possible Trump 2024 campaign. Whether the FBI found any evidence of any crimes – and what’s going to happen if they did – remains to be seen.
However, as the aftermath of the Trump FBI raid plays out, you can expect election betting sites to have odds on various outcomes thereof. In the immediate aftermath, these events have boosted FL. Gov. Ron DeSantis GOP nomination chances for 2024, but only by a few points.
If you want to make as much money wagering on The Donald as possible, now’s the time to place your wagers on his chances to win the 2024 Presidential election. Trump’s odds to win the GOP party nomination in 2024 are trending at -150 at Bovada and -125 at MyBookie.
For the general election in 2024, Trump payouts are even better. At Bovada, he has odds of +250 to win, while at MyBookie, he is trending at +244. Obviously, if you want to wager on The Donald right now, you should do so at Bovada.
The odds suggest that Trump will win his GOP nomination bid and defeat Ron DeSantis in 2024, but they still offer compelling payouts for bettors who want to take a chance. Still, with the Vegas Trump odds provided, it isn’t so easy for the former POTUS to be considered a sure thing, as FL Gov. Ron DeSantis is trending behind him and is the obvious GOP heir apparent in the near future.
As a former president, Trump’s chances of election in 2024 (when he will be almost 78 years old) are actually deteriorating at every offshore betting site. Additionally, on prediction markets, PredictIt particularly, Trump is trailing FL Gov. Ron DeSantis by a significant margin.
There is no denying that Trump’s popularity as a GOP candidate, so it is conceivable that he could run and win again. Right now, DeSantis is truly the only question mark as he has yet to declare his intention to run for POTUS in 2024.
We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets.
You will find prop bets for Presidential debates, which party will win, odds Trump will be impeached (again), and even which nicknames Donald Trump will call his various Democrat (and Republican!) opponents via Twitter (if they ever let him back on the platform).
“Mini Mike Bloomberg” is one of his latest masterpieces, though “Andrew Coma” is perhaps his most biting of the last few years. His latest moniker of, “Ron DeSanctimonious,” is a low-energy effort that appears to have no legs heading into 2024.
Some of the most popular Trump prop bets were:
Going forward, given how contentious politics has become, we expect Presidential resignation odds, Presidential impeachment odds, Presidential indictment odds, and Presidential removal odds to be standard fare during anyone’s administration. The cat, as they say, is out of the bag.
First, it was former President Donald Trump who was found holding classified documents. Then President Joe Biden ended up in possession of top secret
On Tuesday evening, Donald Trump announced his intentions to run for President again in 2024, and much like 2016, he enters the race with many
As long as you are going to be thinking anyway, think big. – Donald Trump
Trump’s 2020 Presidential campaign used a lot of ideas presented during his 2016 campaign. Trump was still railing against illegal immigration and globalism while promising legislation and executive actions to improve the economy, create more jobs, and install stronger foreign policies.
For 2020, his slogan was changed from “Make America Great Again” to “Keep America Great.” These platforms worked well in 2016, and his greater focus on economic recovery should have increased the odds of Trump being re-elected the second time around. However, the coronavirus and the 1619 Riots derailed that considerably.
Now that Trump is running again in 2024, you can expect his policies to remain largely the same, though some new ones will obviously be mixed in for good measure.
As President in 2017, Trump withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy, approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines, signed the Executive Order for Border Security and Immigration Enforcement improvements, signed the Executive Order on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System, and signed the Congressional Review Act, the Elder Abuse Prevention and Prosecution Act, the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017.
In 2018, Trump signed the Farm Bill, as well as the Amy, Vicky, and Andy Child Pornography Victim Assistance Act of 2018. Trump signed several other bills into law, most of which can be found on the official Donald Trump campaign site.
Trump’s professional career began after graduating from college when he went from working at his mother’s company, Elizabeth Trump & Sons, to becoming the owner of it in 1972. He renamed his mother’s business the Trump Organization. In 1983, Trump opened the Trump Tower in Manhattan.
Several years later, in 1987, Trump released a book he co-authored with Tony Schwartz called Trump: The Art of The Deal. Then in 1989, Hasbro & Parker Brothers released Trump: The Game. In 1992, Trump opened three casinos.
In 1995, Trump Hotel and Casino Resorts went public on the NYSE. In 1999, Trump launched Trump Model Management. In 2004, Trump hosted the NBC show The Apprentice. And, of course, in 2016, Trump ran for President on the Republican ticket and won. Trump lost reelection in 2020, however, despite getting more votes than any GOP candidate in US History.
Trump enrolled at Fordham University in 1964. After two years, Trump transferred to the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, where he graduated in 1968 with a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a concentration in Real Estate.
Donald Trump, through the course of his career, has won numerous awards for his charitable and humanitarian pursuits. While often overlooked, some of the most noteworthy Trump honors include:
Trump had very public financial ties to the late Sheldon Adelson, a Las Vegas casino mogul who was known to contribute to the Republican party and anti-gambling lawmakers. In fact, Trump and his family had met with Adelson’s family in Las Vegas multiple times for dinner.
While Adelson was known to push an anti-gambling expansion agenda to prevent any cannibalization in his market of land-based venues, Trump has a history of favoring casinos, as he was a former casino owner and he is friends with many other owners in the industry.
However, Trump was tough on any gamblers working in his cabinet, as his personal assistant John McEntee was denied permanent security clearance from the White House due to “problems related to online gambling and the mishandling of his taxes,” said one Senior Administrator. Overall, we view Trump to be in favor of expanded gambling, at least more so than the GOP generally is.
Since Trump has strong odds of winning the 2024 presidency, payouts would be comparatively “small” if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the odds that Trump will be elected in 2024 sit between +300 and +400.
This means, at +300, a wager of $100 would earn $300, while at +400, a $100 wager would earn $400, depending on which sportsbook you choose to gamble with.
This huge gap in payout value is why it pays to belong to more than one sportsbook, so you always have the opportunity to shop lines for the best odds possible.
Donald Trump’s reelection odds were favorable until April when it became clear that his responses to Black Lives Matter protests and the Coronavirus was not going over well with a majority of bettors.
At that time, Joe Biden took the lead in the 2020 Presidential election odds and remained the favorite through his win in November.
When it came to the 2020 Biden vs. Trump odds, some sites had head-to-head matchups, while others simply had odds on the Presidential winner. At Bovada, the race looked like this down the stretch:
Meanwhile, at BetOnline, the showdown also favored Biden:
MyBookie had the starkest contrast with the best payouts for Trump in the final months of betting:
The coronavirus scare had more of an impact on Donald Trump’s re-election odds in 2020 than all of his “scandals” up till then. This is attributable not to any action on the President’s part, but is indicative of the old adage that “It’s the economy, stupid.” Indeed, COVID-19 rocked the stock market, one of Trump’s core strengths heading into November, and Trump lost the election. America is very nearly in a real recession right now, even under the Biden administration.
To put the virus’ impact into perspective, a few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he immediately dropped to -3000. Meanwhile, the odds of Trump winning the general election were at -140. Those odds fell to +100 or worse following the early days of the American lockdown.
Still, Trump had proved capable of weathering all storms, and many bettors thought he would do so again. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus affected Trump’s odds in 2020, see our Coronavirus Election Odds Impact page.
The odds of Trump winning in 2024 are decent, with his chances sitting between +300 and +400 depending on the sportsbook you choose. Of course, that means you can clean up bigly (kind of) if he wins!
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has not declared his intentions to run for President of the United States in 2024. Despite that fact, the election odds heavily favor DeSantis over Trump and Biden. Right now, Trump’s best chance of beating DeSantis involves the Florida Governor opting out of the 2024 election cycle.
While many mainstream media pundits and Democratic politicians spent countless hours warning that “Dictator Donald” would use the coronavirus to declare martial law and cancel the November 2020 Presidential election, that did not happen. However, you could get odds on whether or not the election would be delayed by COVID-19 at some sportsbooks.
While some books might offer these kinds of props, they are subjective in nature and are thus problematic. Most sports betting sites offering Trump odds will not host such lines, and we don’t recommend risking any cash on subjective outcomes.
Currently, no. However, there were at one time. When Trump initiated nuclear disarmament talks with “Little Rocket Man” Kim Jong Un of North Korea, sportsbooks offered Nobel odds for The Donald. Trump was nominated for seven Nobel Peace Prizes in his four years as President.
★ This page is not intended to be a public endorsement. Our only goal is to inform bettors of the current odds found online. Our team strives to provide transparent information that reflects the best qualities of the candidate. Odds and other information provided on this page should only be used to make an informed betting decision.