2024 Presidential Candidates and Party Affiliation Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2024

Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2024

Donald Trump

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Presidential Election Odds: Bovada

  • Kamala Harris +400
  • Joe Biden +450
  • Donald Trump Sr. +550
  • Ron DeSantis +1000
  • Nikki Haley +2000
  • Mike Pence +2500
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +3000
  • Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson +3300
  • Michelle Obama +3300
  • Cory Booker +4000
*More odds available at Bovada

Who Is Donald Trump?

Presidential Seal2020 Presidential Election Update: Donald Trump lost reelection to Joe Biden in the November general, with Biden being sworn in as America’s 46th President on January 20, 2021. Trump is considering a Presidential bid for 2024, and he is also throwing a lot of support behind conservative candidates for Congressional and Gubernatorial seats. 

Donald Trump is 74 years old and was the United States’ 45th President. Trump ran for President in 2016 as a Republican and filed his reelection campaign with the FEC on the date of his presidential inauguration on January 20, 2019, eventually losing reelection to Joe Biden in 2020.

Before becoming POTUS, Trump was best known for his real estate development and reality television appearances. Since Trump took office, the best online sportsbooks have had non-stop Trump odds on offer in every imaginable political betting market, which continues even as Trump is once again a private citizen. It is safe to say that Trump was the most bet-on (and bet-against) President in US history. Today, you will find re-election odds for Donald Trump Sr., as well as 2024 Presidential odds for his kids including Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump Jr., and Eric Trump.

Voter Base

Based on the available data from the 2016 Presidential Election and various research centers, we can draw a target voter base Trump appeals to which includes:

  • Men
  • Women
  • Conservatives
  • Constitutionalists
  • Capitalists
  • Centrists
  • Evangelicals
  • Right-leaning minorities
  • 2nd Amendment advocates
  • Pro-lifers

The President’s wide appeal to a range of mainstream Republican and Independent platforms is one of the reasons why Trump reelection odds were initially so high despite the economic havoc wreaked by the current coronavirus outbreak. Those dwindled down the stretch as Biden became the favorite, however.

Retrospective: Odds Of Trump Being Reelected In 2020

Odds IconDonald Trump’s reelection odds were favorable until April when it became clear that his responses to Black Lives Matter protests and the Coronavirus were not going over well with a majority of bettors.

At that time, Joe Biden took the lead in the 2020 Presidential election odds and remained the favorite through his win in November.

2024 Trump Republican Nomination Odds

Odds Icon

Odds for winning the 2020 Republican nomination were in Trump’s favor since they were initially released. Trump was the incumbent Republican President and therefore had the best odds to receive his party’s nomination.

However, Trump ended up losing to Joe Biden. That said, Trump, despite losing his reelection bid, is currently favored to win the GOP primaries in 2024, and all the sportsbooks are taking action on those Trump election chances.

2024 Presidential Election – Republican Candidate

  • Donald Trump +400
  • Mike Pence +500
  • Nikki Haley +600
  • John Kasich +900
  • Ted Cruz +1200
  • Tom Cotton +1400
  • Dan Crenshaw +1600
  • Ron DeSantis +1800
  • Bill Weld +2000
  • Josh Hawley +2000

*(Odds from Feb. 2021)

2020 Recap: Trump Vs. Biden Odds

When it came to the 2020 Biden vs. Trump odds, some sites had head-to-head matchups, while others simply had odds on the Presidential winner. At Bovada, the race looked like this down the stretch:

  • Donald Trump +120
  • Joe Biden -140

Meanwhile, at BetOnline, the showdown also favored Biden:

  • Donald Trump -110
  • Joe Biden -110

MyBookie had the starkest contrast with the best payouts for Trump in the final months of betting:

  • Donald Trump -125
  • Joe Biden -105

Donald Trump Coronavirus Update

The coronavirus scare has had more of an impact on Donald Trump’s re-election odds than all of his “scandals” to date. This is attributable not to any action on the President’s part, but is indicative of the old adage that “It’s the economy, stupid.” Indeed, COVID-19 rocked the stock market, one of Trump’s core strengths heading into November, and Trump lost the election. America is very nearly in a real recession right now, even under the Biden administration.

To put the virus’ impact into perspective, a few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the Wuhan coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he immediately dropped to -3000. Meanwhile, the odds of Trump winning the general election were at -140. Those odds fell to +100 or worse following the early days of the American lockdown.

Still, Trump had proved capable of weathering all storms, and many bettors thought he would do so again. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus affected Trump’s odds in 2020, see our Coronavirus Election Odds Impact page.

Can I Bet On Donald Trump 2024 Election Odds Now?

If you want to make as much money wagering on The Donald as possible, now’s the time to place your wagers on his chances to win the 2024 Presidential election. Trump’s 2024 GOP primary odds also hold a lot of value, as he’s trending at +400 at Bovada and +1400 at BetOnline.

For the general election in 2024, Trump payouts are even better. At BetOnline, he has odds of +800 to win, while at BetOnline, he is trending at +3300. Obviously, if you want to wager on The Donald right now, you should do so at BetOnline.

What The Current Lines Tell Us About The Chance Of Trump Winning In 2024

The odds suggest that Trump will lose in 2024 (if he runs at all), but they offer compelling payouts for bettors who want to take a chance. Still, with the Vegas Trump odds provided, it is difficult for the former POTUS to be considered a sure bet, and he is favored to lose across all three of our top-rated sportsbooks.

Chances Of Trump Reelection Based On Prediction Markets

As a former president, Trump’s chances of election in 2024 (when he will be almost 80 years old) are floundering at every offshore betting site. However, on prediction markets, PredictIt particularly, Trump is the only Republican with a real chance to win.

There is no denying that Trump is the most popular GOP candidate of all time even in losing the 2020 election, and if he is not convicted in the Senate (or have the 14th Amendment used against him), it is conceivable that he could run and win again.

Donald Trump Political Prop Bets

We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets.

You will find prop bets for Presidential debates, which party will win, odds Trump will be impeached (again), and even which nicknames Donald Trump will call his various Democrat opponents via Twitter (if they ever let him back on the platform).

“Mini Mike Bloomberg” is one of his latest masterpieces, though “Andrew Coma” is perhaps his most biting of the last few years.

Trump Impeachment Odds

For bettors who put money on Trump impeachment, that paid out handsomely (comb-over and all) in late 2019 when the US House formally impeached the President. Then, when Trump was impeached again in January 2021, bettors cleaned up once again.

Trump Removal Odds

The odds Trump would be removed from office were never that great to begin with, even during his impeachment proceedings of 2019-2020. In his 2021 Senate trial, Trump is already out of office, so he cannot technically be removed. However, you can still find Trump Senate conviction odds, which we’ve listed below (via Bovada):

How many US Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement charges?

  • 55 Or 56 +180
  • 53 Or 54 +210
  • 51 Or 52 +800
  • 57 Or 58 +800
  • 50 Or Fewer +1600
  • 67 Or More +1600
  • 59 Or 60 +2000
  • 61 Or 62 +5000
  • 63 Or 64 +10000
  • 65 Or 66 +10000

Trump Resignation Odds

The odds Trump would resign were practically nil throughout his term as President. These were available for a hot minute at offshore betting sites when Trump was first impeached, but they fizzled almost immediately.

After all, given Trump’s brusque demeanor and famously thick skin (he actually enjoys bad press!), it was always unlikely that you’d ever see a good payout on the odds Trump would resign.


Recent New & Headlines For President Donald Trump

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Ivanka Trump’s Election Betting Odds Unaffected By Potential Federal Probe

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In His Own Words

As long as you are going to be thinking anyway, think big. – Donald Trump  


President Donald Trump’s Running Policies

Policy IconTrump’s 2020 Presidential campaign used a lot of ideas presented during his 2016 campaign. Trump was still railing against illegal immigration and globalism while promising legislation and executive actions to improve the economy, create more jobs, and install stronger foreign policies.

For 2020, his slogan was changed from “Make America Great Again” to “Keep America Great”. These platforms worked well in 2016, and his greater focus on economic recovery should have increased the odds of Trump being re-elected the second time around. However, the coronavirus and 1619 Riots derailed that considerably.

President Donald Trump’s Previous Policies

Policy IconAs President, Trump in 2017 withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy, approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access pipelines, signed the Executive Order for Border Security and Immigration Enforcement improvements, signed the Executive Order on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System, and signed the Congressional Review Act, the Elder Abuse Prevention and Prosecution Act, the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017.

In 2018, Trump signed the Farm Bill, as well as the Amy, Vicky, and Andy Child Pornography Victim Assistance Act of 2018. Trump signed several other bills into law, most of which can be found through the Donald Trump 2020 campaign site.

Experience

Experience IconTrump’s working career began after graduating from college when he went from working at his mother’s company, Elizabeth Trump & Sons, to becoming the owner of it in 1972. He renamed his mother’s business the Trump Organization. In 1983, Trump opened the Trump Tower in Manhattan.

Several years later in 1987, Trump released a book he co-authored with Tony Schwartz called Trump: The Art of The Deal. Then in 1989, Hasbro & Parker Brothers released Trump: The Game. In 1992, Trump opened three casinos.

In 1995, Trump Hotel and Casino Resorts went public on the NYSE. In 1999, Trump launched Trump Model Management. In 2004, Trump hosted the NBC show The Apprentice. And of course, in 2016, Trump ran for President on the Republican ticket and won. Trump lost reelection in 2020, however, despite getting more votes than any GOP candidate in US History.

Education

Education IconTrump enrolled at Fordham University in 1964. After two years, Trump transferred to Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania where he graduated in 1968 with a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a concentration in Real Estate.

Civic Work

Donald Trump, through the course of his career, has won numerous awards for his charitable and humanitarian pursuits. While often overlooked, some of the most noteworthy Trump honors include:

  • Humanitarian Award, National Jewish Health (1976)
  • Tree of Life Award, Jewish National Fund (1983)
  • Ellis Island Medal of Honor (1986)
  • President’s Medal, Freedom Foundation (1995)
  • Muhammad Ali Entrepreneur Award (2007)
  • Unicorn Children’s Foundation Shining Star Award (2008)
  • Presidential Hero Award, Lois Pope LIFE Foundation (2011)
  • The Algemeiner Liberty Award (2015)
  • Wounded Warrior Project Award (2018)
  • Bipartisan Justice Award (2019)

President Trump’s Views on Gambling

Gambling IconTrump had very public financial ties to the late Sheldon Adelson, a Las Vegas casino mogul who was known to contribute to the Republican party and anti-gambling lawmakers. In fact, Trump and his family had met with Adelson’s family in Las Vegas multiple times for dinner.

While Adelson was known to push an anti-gambling expansion agenda to prevent any cannibalization in his market of land-based venues, Trump has a history of favoring casinos, as he was a former casino owner and he is friends with many other owners in the industry.

However, Trump was tough on any gamblers working in his cabinet, as his personal assistant John McEntee was denied permanent security clearance from the White House due to “problems related to online gambling and the mishandling of his taxes,” said one Senior Administrator. Overall, we view Trump to be in favor of expanded gambling, at least more so than the GOP generally is.


How Much Can I Win If I Bet On Trump 2024 Election Odds?

Since Trump has low odds to win the 2024 presidency, huge payouts can be collected on him if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the odds that Trump will be elected in 2024 sit between +800 and +3300.

This means, at +800, a wager of $100 would earn $800, while at +3300, a $100 wager would earn $3300, depending on which sportsbook you choose to gamble with.

This huge gap in payout value is why it pays to belong to more than one sportsbook so you always have the opportunity to shop lines for the best odds possible.

Top 5 Reasons Donald Trump’s Chances Of Winning in 2024 Are Real

  1. Trump is a wildly popular former President. In 2020, he got more votes than any Republican candidate in US history.
  2. Trump is still not a career politician. The idea that America needed a businessman instead of a politician was prominent during Trump’s successful 2016 campaign, and with the current COVID economy and a rough four years ahead, that rings all the truer.
  3. Democrats have different viewpoints from one another, especially now that they control both chambers of Congress and the White House. While the left cannibalizes itself and fractures internally, Trump could reclaim the presidency since his stances are well-known.
  4. The economy needs help right now. Strong economies are key factors for voters in most years, and the US is headed for a major recession or even a depression. Trump proved he can right a sinking ship.
  5. America is accustomed to Trump. Although some of Trump’s actions earn him backlash, he doesn’t seem as outrageous as he once did. His 2016 railings against the manufacturing influence of China has been borne out in a big way during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well.

Trump Betting Odds FAQs

When was Donald Trump elected President?

Donald John Trump was elected President of the United States on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He took office officially when he was sworn in on Friday, January 20, 2017.

How did Trump win the election?

Trump won the 2016 Presidential election by winning more electoral votes than his opponent, Hillary Clinton. The final tally was 304-227. While Clinton won the popular vote, she neglected to campaign in swing states and lost several that she thought was “in the bag.” Hillary’s campaign was the most expensive in US history, while Trump’s was the least expensive in several cycles.

What was the Dow When Trump was elected?

The day Trump was elected on November 8, 2016, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 18,332.74. The next day, the Dow gained 312 points, closing at 18,613.52. As of May 15, 2020, the Dow sits at 23,649.76, due entirely to the effects of the coronavirus.

What are the odds of Trump being elected again?

The odds of Trump winning in 2024 are not good, with his chances sitting between +800 and +3300 depending on the sportsbook you choose. Of course, that just means you can clean up bigly if he wins!

What were the chances Trump would cancel election proceedings for 2020?

While many mainstream media pundits and Democratic politicians spent countless hours warning that “Dictator Donald” would use the coronavirus to declare martial law and cancel the November 2020 Presidential election, that did not happen. However, you could get odds on whether or not the election would be delayed by COVID-19 at some sportsbooks.

Can you bet on Trump lies?

While some books might offer these kinds of props, they are subjective in nature, and are thus problematic. Most sports betting sites offering Trump odds will not host such lines, and we don’t recommend risking any cash on subjective outcomes.

Are there Trump Nobel Peace Prize odds?

Currently, no. However, there were at one time. When Trump initiated nuclear disarmament talks with “Little Rocket Man” Kim Jong Un of North Korea, sportsbooks offered Nobel odds for The Donald. Trump has been nominated for seven Nobel Peace Prizes in his four years as President.


Top 2024 Republican Candidates

Donald Trump

Donald Trump (R)

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Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis (R)

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Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley (R)

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Mike Pence

Mike Pence (R)

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Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz (R)

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Dan Crenshaw

Dan Crenshaw (R)

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Josh Hawley

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Mike Pompeo

Mike Pompeo (R)

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Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump Jr (R)

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Rudy Giuliani

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Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump (R)

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**This page is not intended to be a public endorsement. Our only goal is to inform bettors of the current odds found online. Our team strives to provide transparent information that reflects the best qualities of the candidate. Odds and other information provided on this page should only be used to make an informed betting decision.