2020 Presidential Candidates and Party Affiliation Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2020

Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2020

Donald Trump

Bovada Sportsbook
Party Nomination Odds: -3000
Presidential Election Odds:-115
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Betonline Sportsbook
Party Nomination Odds: -2000
Presidential Election Odds: +100
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Republican Primary Leaders


* This data reflects the latest polling data for each candidate from RealClearPolitics. Data was taken from 4/26-5/5, 2020.

Bovada Odds Tracker

Who Is Donald Trump?

Presidential SealDonald Trump is 72 years old and the United States’ 45th and current President. Trump ran for President in 2016 as a Republican and filed his reelection campaign with the FEC on the date of his presidential inauguration on January 20, 2019.

Before becoming POTUS, Trump was best known for his real estate development and reality television appearances. Ever since taking office, the best online sportsbooks have had non-stop Trump odds on offer in every imaginable political betting market. It is safe to say that Trump is the most bet-on (and bet-against) President in US history.

Voter Base

Based on the available data from the 2016 Presidential Election and various research centers, we can draw a target voter base Trump appeals to which includes:

  • Men
  • Women
  • Conservatives
  • Constitutionalists
  • Capitalists
  • Centrists
  • Evangelicals
  • Right-leaning minorities
  • 2nd Amendment advocates
  • Pro-lifers

The President’s wide appeal to a range of mainstream Republican and Independent platforms is one of the reasons why Trump reelection odds are so high despite the economic havoc wreaked by the current coronavirus outbreak (more on that below).

Odds Of Trump Reelection In 2020

Odds IconThe Donald Trump reelection odds are favorable, as he is considered very likely to win his campaign for the 2020 Presidential Candidacy. Sportsbooks are favoring him over any challenger, however, this may change at any time, given the nature of the 24/7 news media and the many commercial and political campaigns against the President. Still,  the odds of Trump winning 2020 are on his side, as you can see (via Bovada):

2020 US Presidential Election Winner

  • Donald Trump -120
  • Joe Biden +130
  • Hillary Clinton +2200
  • Andrew Cuomo +4500
  • Michelle Obama +5000
  • Mike Pence +5000
  • Nikki Haley +20000

2020 Trump Republican Nomination Odds

Odds Icon

Odds for winning the Republican nomination have been in Trump’s favor since they were initially released. Trump is the current incumbent Republican President and therefore has the best odds to receive his party’s nomination.

Unless another Republican can bring a large number of supporters and voters behind them, it is likely Trump will remain the Republican party’s primary nominee. Odds on Trump reelection are contingent upon taking the GOP ticket, which the President seems to have all but wrapped up. Currently, Trump betting odds on the GOP boards at Bovada show that he’s basically a foregone conclusion:

2020 Republican Candidate Odds

  • Donald Trump -3000
  • Mike Pence +1500
  • Nikki Haley +5000
  • Mitt Romney +6000
  • Paul Ryan +10000
  • Ben Sasse +15000
  • John Kasich +15000
  • William (Bill) Weld +15000

It is worth pointing out that Bill Weld suspended his campaign on March 18, 2020, and his odds haven’t moved an inch despite no longer being in the race.

The only credible challenger Trump has is his own Vice Presidential candidate, and there is virtually no chance that Mike Pence would attempt to run against the Donald. He’s only there in case the POTUS is unable to run when the general election nears.

Trump Vs. Biden Odds

When it comes to Biden vs. Trump odds, some sites have head-to-head matchups, while others simply have odds on the Presidential winner (which are just as telling, given that Biden is the presumptive nominee). At Bovada, the race looks like this:

  • Donald Trump -120
  • Joe Biden +130

Meanwhile, at BetOnline, the showdown favors Trump even more:

  • Donald Trump -150
  • Joe Biden +120

MyBookie has the starkest contrast with the best payouts on this contest:

  • Donald Trump -300
  • Joe Biden +400

Donald Trump Coronavirus Update

The coronavirus scare has had more of an impact on Donald Trump’s re-election odds than all of his “scandals” to date. This is attributable not to any action on the President’s part, but is indicative of the old adage that “It’s the economy, stupid.” Indeed, COVID-19 has rocked the stock market, one of Trump’s core strengths heading into November. America is very nearly in a real recession (which is something you can wager on at the best election betting sites).

A few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the Wuhan coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he’s at -3000 now. Meanwhile, as recently as last month, the odds of Trump winning the general election were at -140. Those odds are now at -120 after bottoming out at +100 in the early days of the American lockdown.

Still, Trump has proved capable of weathering all storms to date, and if you think he’s going to do so again, you likely won’t find better odds or bigger payouts on Trump 2020 than you will right now. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus is affecting Trump’s odds, see our Coronavirus Election Odds Impact page.

Can I Bet On Donald Trump 2020 Odds Now?

If you want to make as much money wagering on The Donald as possible, now’s the time to place your wagers on his chances to win the 2020 Presidential election. Trump’s GOP primary odds don’t hold much value due to his overwhelmingly favored status, but his payouts on the general election are currently trending in the low -120s, which is compelling.

If you think the incumbent is going to win like most incumbents do, hop aboard the Trump Train and ride it all the way to the bank. If you are looking for other ways to take money to the bank, look for political props and Trump press conference betting odds.

What The Current Lines Tell Us About The Odds Of Trump Winning In 2020

The odds Trump wins in 2020 are very good considering that he’s kept his lead over presumptive nominee Joe Biden intact during the tumultuous election cycle. However, the question is whether or not he will remain the clear favorite. With the Vegas Trump odds provided, it is difficult for another candidate to be considered as sure of a bet.

There has been only one single day during his entire presidency where the odds Trump gets reelected were actually lower than another candidate’s, and that’s when he was trending at +105 to Biden’s +100.

Chances Of Trump Reelection Based On Prediction Markets

As the current president, Trump chances of reelection are solid at every offshore betting site. On prediction markets, PredictWise particularly, Trump is the only Republican with a real chance to win.

At 94%, Trump is well above all other competitors for the GOP nomination. Additionally, PredictWise has Trump at 54% to win the general election in November to take a second term in office.

Donald Trump Political Prop Bets

We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets. You will find prop bets for Presidential debates, which party will win, odds Trump will be impeached (again), and even which nicknames Donald Trump will call his various Democrat opponents via Twitter. “Mini Mike Bloomberg” is his latest masterpiece, though “Andrew Coma” is trending now.

Trump Impeachment Odds

For bettors who put money on Trump impeachment, that paid out handsomely (comb-over and all) in late 2019 when the US House formally impeached the President. However, it seems very likely that the odds Trump gets impeached again are going to be hitting sportsbooks in short order.

So if you think Agent Orange is in for another “witch hunt” before the 2020 election, the odds Trump will be impeached – and become the first President to ever be impeached twice – should make for some compelling action.

Trump Removal Odds

The odds Trump will be removed from office were never that great to begin with, even during his impeachment proceedings of 2019-2020. Given GOP control of the Senate, the House impeachment was a token gesture and political play at most, and bettors never took the bait (even as the media and Democrats went all-in).

When new impeachments odds hit, you can expect to get Trump removal odds to wager on, but the closest thing right now is this line from Bovada:

Will Trump Complete His First Term?

  • Yes -900
  • No +500

Trump Resignation Odds

The odds Trump will resign are practically nil. These were available for a hot minute at offshore betting sites when the President was first impeached, but they fizzled almost immediately. After all, given POTUS’ brusque demeanor and famously thick skin (he actually enjoys bad press!), it is unlikely that you’d ever see a good payout on the odds Trump will resign.


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In His Own Words

As long as you are going to be thinking anyway, think big. – Donald Trump  


President Donald Trump’s Running Policies

Policy IconTrump’s 2020 Presidential campaign bounces off a lot of ideas presented during his 2016 campaign. Trump is still railing against illegal immigration and globalism while promising legislation and executive actions to improve the economy, create more jobs, and install stronger foreign policies.

For 2020, his slogan has changed from “Make America Great Again” to “Keep America Great”. These platforms worked well in 2016, and his greater focus on economic recovery should only increase the odds of Trump being reelected this time around.

President Donald Trump’s Previous Policies

Policy IconAs President, Trump in 2017 withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reinstated and expanded the Mexico City Policy, approved the Keystone XL and Dakota access pipelines, signed the Executive Order for Border Security and Immigration Enforcement improvements, signed the Executive Order on Core Principles for regulating the United States Financial System, and signed the Congressional Review Act, the Elder Abuse Prevention and Prosecution Act, the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017.

In 2018, Trump signed the Farm Bill, as well as the Amy, Vicky, and Andy Child Pornography Victim Assistance Act of 2018. Trump signed several other bills into law, most of which can be found through the Donald Trump 2020 campaign site.

Experience

Experience IconTrump’s working career began after graduating from college when he went from working at his mother’s company, Elizabeth Trump & Sons, to becoming the owner of it in 1972. He renamed his mother’s business the Trump Organization. In 1983, Trump opened the Trump Tower in Manhattan.

Several years later in 1987, Trump released a book he co-authored with Tony Schwartz called Trump: The Art of The Deal. Then in 1989, Hasbro & Parker Brothers released Trump: The Game. In 1992, Trump opened three casinos.

In 1995, Trump Hotel and Casino Resorts went public on the NYSE. In 1999, Trump launched Trump Model Management. In 2004, Trump hosted the NBC show The Apprentice. And of course, in 2016, Trump ran for President on the Republican ticket and won.

Education

Education IconTrump enrolled at Fordham University in 1964. After two years, Trump transferred to Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania where he graduated in 1968 with a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a concentration in Real Estate.

Civic Work

Donald Trump, through the course of his career, has won numerous awards for his charitable and humanitarian pursuits. While often overlooked, some of the most noteworthy Trump honors include:

  • Humanitarian Award, National Jewish Health (1976)
  • Tree of Life Award, Jewish National Fund (1983)
  • Ellis Island Medal of Honor (1986)
  • President’s Medal, Freedom Foundation (1995)
  • Muhammad Ali Entrepreneur Award (2007)
  • Unicorn Children’s Foundation Shining Star Award (2008)
  • Presidential Hero Award, Lois Pope LIFE Foundation (2011)
  • The Algemeiner Liberty Award (2015)
  • Wounded Warrior Project Award (2018)
  • Bipartisan Justice Award (2019)

President Trump’s Views on Gambling

Gambling IconTrump has very public financial ties to Sheldon Adelson, a Las Vegas casino mogul that is known to contribute to the Republican party and anti-gambling lawmakers. In fact, Trump and his family have met with Adelson’s family in Las Vegas multiple times for dinner.

While Adelson is known to push an anti-gambling expansion agenda to prevent any cannibalization in his market of land-based venues, Trump has a history of favoring casinos, as he was a former casino owner and he is friends with many other owners in the industry.

However, Trump is tough on any gamblers working in his cabinet, as his personal assistant John McEntee was denied permanent security clearance from the White House due to “problems related to online gambling and the mishandling of his taxes,” said one Senior Administrator. Overall, we view Trump to be in favor of expanded gambling, at least more so than the GOP generally is.


How Much Can I Win If I Bet On Trump 2020 Election Odds?

Since Trump has the best odds to win the 2020 presidency, don’t expect a huge payout if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the odds that Trump will be reelected sit between -120 and -140.

The payouts would be even less if you were to vote on Trump’s odds to earn the Republican nomination. Logically, the nomination is already Trump’s since he is the incumbent. Nevertheless, his nomination odds range between -3000 and -5000 at most sites. This means, at -3000 odds, you would need to bet $3000 to win $100. With betting limits being what they are, this is probably free money – just not a great deal of it. A $100 pays out $3.30.

Top 5 Reasons Donald Trump’s Chances Of Winning Are Real

  1. Trump is the incumbent. Sitting presidents fare better in re-election compared to challengers.
  2. Trump is not a career politician. The idea that America needed a businessman instead of a politician was prominent during Trump’s successful 2016 campaign, and with the current COVID economy, that’s rings all the truer today.
  3. Democrats have different viewpoints from one another. Without a party consensus, Republican Trump could retain office since his stances are well-known.
  4. The economy needs help right now. Strong economies are key factors for voters reelecting an incumbent, though Trump will likely get a pass since the current stock market crash and jobless rates are due to state policies and not federal policies during the coronavirus pandemic.
  5. America is becoming accustomed to Trump. Although some of Trump’s actions earn him backlash, he doesn’t seem as outrageous as he once did. His 2016 railings against the manufacturing influence of China has been borne out in a big way during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well.

Trump Betting Odds FAQs

When was Donald Trump elected President?

Donald John Trump was elected President of the United States on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He took office officially when he was sworn in on Friday, January 20, 2017.

How did Trump win the election?

Trump won the 2016 Presidential election by winning more electoral votes than his opponent, Hillary Clinton. The final tally was 304-227. While Clinton won the popular vote, she neglected to campaign in swing states and lost several that she thought was “in the bag.”

Hillary’s campaign was the most expensive in US history, while Trump’s was the least expensive in several cycles.

What was the Dow When Trump was elected?

The day Trump was elected on November 8, 2016, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 18,332.74. The next day, the Dow gained 312 points, closing at 18,613.52.

As of May 15, 2020, the Dow sits at 23,649.76, due entirely to the effects of the coronavirus. Ironically, Trump should be able to use this as a strength come November.

What are the odds of Trump being reelected?

The odds  on Trump winning in 2020 are extremely good, with his chances sitting at between -120 and -300 depending on the sportsbook you choose. His polling numbers are also high, and he’s enjoying some of the best public support of his presidency to date despite the coronvirus’ US fallout.

What are the chances Trump cancels election proceedings for 2020?

While many mainstream media pundits and Democratic politicians have spent countless hours warning that “Dictator Donald” would use the coronavirus to declare martial law and cancel the November Presidential election, that is unlikely to happen.

However, you can get odds on whether or not the election will be delayed by COVID-19 at some sportsbooks.

Can you bet on Trump lies?

While some books might offer these kinds of props, they are subjective in nature, and are thus problematic. Most sports betting sites offering Trump odds will not host such lines, and we don’t recommend risking any cash on subjective outcomes.

Are there Trump Nobel Peace Prize odds?

Currently, no. However, there were at one time. When Trump initiated nuclear disarmament talks with “Little Rocket Man” Kim Jong Un of North Korea, sportsbooks offered Nobel odds for The Donald.


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**This page is not intended to be a public endorsement. Our only goal is to inform bettors of the current odds found online. Our team strives to provide transparent information that reflects the best qualities of the candidate. Odds and other information provided on this page should only be used to make an informed betting decision.