2020 Presidential Candidates and Party Affiliation Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2020

Donald Trump Reelection Odds For 2020

Donald Trump

Bovada Sportsbook
Party Nomination Odds: -2500
Presidential Election Odds:-120
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Betonline Sportsbook
Party Nomination Odds: TBA
Presidential Election Odds: -115
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Republican Primary Leaders

* This data reflects the popularity of Republican candidates based on data collected from Republican Primary Voters. Percentages represent favorability to win the 2020 Republican nomination. Data was taken from 2/20-2/29, 2020.

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Who Is Donald Trump?

Presidential SealDonald Trump is 72 years old and the United States’ 45th and current President. Trump ran for President in 2016 as a Republican and filed his reelection campaign with the FEC on the date of his presidential inauguration on January 20, 2019. Before becoming the POTUS, Trump was best known for his real estate development and reality television appearances.

Voter Base

Based on the available data from the 2016 Presidential Election and various research centers, we can draw a target voter base Trump appeals to which includes:

  • Men
  • Women
  • Conservatives
  • Centrists
  • Evangelicals
  • Right-leaning minorities

2020 New Hampshire Republican Primary Results

  • Vote Percentage: 85.6%
  • Delegates: 22

2020 Iowa Caucus Results

  • Vote Percentage: 97%
  • Delegates: 39

Odds Trump Will Win The 2020 Presidential Election

Odds IconTrump’s reelection odds are favorable for him, as he is considered very likely to win his reelection campaign for the 2020 Presidential Candidacy. However, as more candidates join the race and speculation circulates about any involvement with Russia or Ukraine, his odds have shifted to a less favorable position, though he is still the front runner at this point.

Sportsbooks are favoring him over any challenger, however, this may change as Democratic campaigns become stronger, new incriminating evidence is brought against Trump, or a more favorable Republican candidate wins the party’s primary nomination. With Bill Weld and Joe Walsh recently joining the race, it will be interesting to see how this affects President Trump’s odds of reelection. (Update: So far, Weld and Walsh have been ineffectual, and they have failed to submit campaign paperwork by the appropriate deadlines in several key states.)

Odds Trump Will Win The Republican Nomination

Odds Icon

Odds for winning the Republican nomination have been in Trump’s favor since they were initially released. Trump is the current incumbent Republican President and therefore has the best odds to receive his party’s nomination. Unless another Republican can bring a large number of supporters and voters behind them, it is likely Trump will remain the Republican party’s primary nominee.

This, of course, is assuming the president is not found guilty in his impeachment trial or resigns before the end of his first term.

Donald Trump Coronavirus Update

The coronavirus scare has had more of an impact on Donald Trump’s re-election odds than all of his “scandals” to date. This is attributable not to any action (or lack of action) on the President’s part, but is indicative of the old adage that “It’s the economy, stupid.” Indeed, COVID-19 has rocked the stock market, one of Trump’s core strengths heading into November.

The fallout per the odds boards are more extreme than polling data or approval metrics would suggest, as Trump’s been trending evenly through it all. While commentary regarding Trump on coronavirus – in terms of his personal view – dings him for viewing the issue as more hype than substance, he has closed US borders to flights from most of Europe and affected Asian countries.

A few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the Wuhan coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he’s at -1600 now, tied with VP Mike Pence. Meanwhile, as recently as last week, Trump was sitting at -140 odds to win the 2020 Presidential election. Those odds are now at +100, tied with Joe Biden’s. Even Trump’s odds to be kicked off Twitter have closed a bit, and the Republican party’s Presidential election odds have also crashed into a tie with the Democrats.

Still, Trump has proved capable of weathering all storms to date, and if you think he’s going to do so again, you likely won’t find better odds or bigger payouts on Trump 2020 than you will right now. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus is affecting Trump’s odds see our Election odds impact of the Coronavirus page.

Can I Bet On Donald Trump Now?

If you want to make as much money wagering on The Donald as possible, now’s the time to place your wagers on his chances to win the 2020 Presidential election. Trump’s GOP primary odds don’t hold much value due to his overwhelmingly favored status, but his payouts on the general election are currently trending in the low +100s, which is compelling. If you think the incumbent is going to win like most incumbents do, hop aboard the Trump Train and ride it all the way to the bank.

What The Current Betting Odds Tells Us About Trump’s Chance Of Winning in 2020

The clearly favorable odds imply that Donald Trump is considered a formidable challenger in the 2020 Presidential Election Campaign, at least according to sportsbooks. However, the question is whether or not he will remain the clear favorite. With the best odds provided, it may be difficult for another candidate to be considered as sure of a bet.

Again, Trump is the favorite until something changes. With the current impeachment trial, Trump could be removed from office and the entire 2020 election landscape would be altered fundamentally.

Donald Trump’s Chances Of Winning Based On Prediction Markets

As the current president, Trump has a great chance of keeping the Republican Party nomination. On prediction markets, Predictwise particularly, Trump is the only Republican with a real chance to win.

At 89%, Trump is well above all other competitors. His next closest competition is Vice President Pence at 4%. It must be noted, however, that Predictwise gives the Democratic Party a 53% chance of having the next president in 2020.

Donald Trump Political Prop Bets

We have a page that specifically covers bets that lie outside the standard betting lines for candidates, including current Donald Trump political prop bets. You will find prop bets for Presidential debates, which party will win, odds on Trump’s impeachment, and currently, which nickname Donald Trump will call the various Democrat candidates via Twitter. “Mini Mike Bloomberg” is his latest masterpiece.

Donald Trump Impeachment Odds

Now that the House Democrats have officially impeached President Trump, the possibility that Trump is removed from office is a slim reality. Despite the firestorm surrounding the trial, however, sportsbooks do not favor a Trump conviction in the Senate, especially before his first term ends.

However, as new information is released or debunked, the odds could shift either direction.

Recent New & Headlines For President Donald Trump

Wisconsin Primary Betting Odds Favor Biden Spreading Malarkey

UPDATE: Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers on Monday issued an executive order to delay the state’s presidential primary June 9 because of the coronavirus

Read more

Why Bernie Sanders Is America’s Best Bet For President In 2020

America supposedly loves an underdog, but voters have continued backing “perceived favorites” for President during a declared national emergency.

Read more

2020 Presidential Election Odds Favor Trump-Pence Over Biden-Harris

The 2020 Presidential Election odds has experienced a fair amount of volatility over the past month at online sportsbooks and prediction betting

Read more

In His Own Words

As long as you are going to be thinking anyway, think big. – Donald Trump  

President Donald Trump’s Running Policies

Policy IconTrump’s 2020 Presidential campaign bounces off a lot of ideas presented during his 2016 campaign. Trump is still railing against abortion, illegal immigration, and globalism while promising policies to improve the economy, create more jobs, and install stronger foreign policies. For 2020, his slogan has changed from “Make America Great Again” to “Keep America Great”.

President Donald Trump’s Previous Policies

Policy IconAs President, Trump, in 2017, withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reinstated expanded Mexico City Policy, approved Keystone XL and Dakota access pipelines, signed the Executive Order for Border Security and Immigration Enforcement improvements, signed the Executive Order on Core Principles for regulating the United States Financial System, and signed the Congressional Review Act, the Elder Abuse Prevention and Prosecution Act, the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, and the Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act of 2017.

In 2018, Trump signed the Farm Bill, and the Amy, Vicky, and Andy Child Pornography Victim Assistance Act of 2018. Trump signed several other bills into law, most of which can be found through the Donald Trump 2020 campaign site.


Experience IconTrump’s working career began after graduating from college when he went from working at his mother’s company, Elizabeth Trump & Sons, to becoming the owner of it in 1972. He renamed his mother’s business the Trump Organization. In 1983, Trump opened the Trump Tower in Manhattan.

Several years later in 1987, Trump released a book he co-authored with Tony Schwartz called Trump: The Art of The Deal. Then in 1989, Hasbro & the Parker Brothers released Trump: The Game. In 1992, Trump opened three casinos.

In 1995, Trump’s Trump Hotel and Casino Resorts went public on the NYSE. In 1999, Trump launched Trump Model Management. In 2004, Trump hosted the NBC show The Apprentice. In 2016, Trump ran for President on the Republican ticket and won.


Education IconTrump enrolled at Fordham University in 1964. After two years, Trump transferred to Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania where he graduated in 1968 with a Bachelor of Science degree in Economics with a concentration in Real Estate.

Civic Work

Donald Trump, through the course of his career, has won numerous awards for his charitable and humanitarian pursuits. While often overlooked, some of the most noteworthy Trump honors include:

  • Humanitarian Award, National Jewish Health (1976)
  • Tree of Life Award, Jewish National Fund (1983)
  • Ellis Island Medal of Honor (1986)
  • President’s Medal, Freedom Foundation (1995)
  • Muhammad Ali Entrepreneur Award (2007)
  • Unicorn Children’s Foundation Shining Star Award (2008)
  • Presidential Hero Award, Lois Pope LIFE Foundation (2011)
  • The Algemeiner Liberty Award (2015)
  • Wounded Warrior Project Award (2018)
  • Bipartisan Justice Award (2019)

President Trump’s Views on Gambling

Gambling IconTrump has very public financial ties to Sheldon Adelson, a Las Vegas casino mogul that is known to contribute to the Republican party and anti-gambling lawmakers. In fact, Trump and his family have met with Adelson’s family in Vegas multiple times for dinner. Trump’s current Communication Coordinator is also Sheldon Adelson’s nephew Michael Abboud.

While Adelson is known to push an anti-gambling expansion agenda to prevent any cannibalization in his market of land-based venues, Trump has a history of favoring casinos, as he was a former casino owner and he is friends with many casino owners.

However, Trump is tough on any gamblers working in his cabinet, as his personal assistant John McEntee was denied permanent security clearance from the White House due to “problems related to online gambling and the mishandling of his taxes,” said one Senior Administrator.

How Much Can I Win If I Bet On Donald Trump?

Since Trump has the best odds to win the 2020 presidency, don’t expect a huge payout if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the president’s odds sit between -120 and -140.

The payouts would be even less if you were to vote on Trump’s odds to earn the Republican nomination. Logically, the nomination is already Trump’s since he is the incumbent. Nevertheless, his nomination odds range between -800 and -1200 at most sites. This means, at -500 odds, that you would need to bet $500 to win $100.

Top 5 Reasons Donald Trump’s Chances Of Winning Are Real

  1. Trump is the incumbent. Sitting presidents fare better in re-election compared to challengers.
  2. Trump is not a career politician. The idea that America needed a businessman instead of a politician was prominent during Trump’s successful 2016 campaign.
  3. Democrats have different viewpoints from one another. Without a party consensus, Republican Trump could retain office since his stances are well-known.
  4. The economy is doing well right now. Strong economies are key factors for voters reelecting an incumbent.
  5. America is becoming accustomed to Trump. Although some of Trump’s actions earn him backlash, he doesn’t seem as outrageous as he once did.

**This page is not intended to be a public endorsement. Our only goal is to inform bettors of the current odds found online. Our team strives to provide transparent information that reflects the best qualities of the candidate. Odds and other information provided on this page should only be used to make an informed betting decision.