Bloomberg Qualifies, Nevada Debate Prop Bets Released
After spending more money on presidential primary campaign ads than any candidate in the history of the United States, the Sixty Billion Dollar Man will finally deliver his message on the debate stage—and not solely during commercial breaks.
Also, the first batch of presidential debate prop bets have been released, and we’ve got the scoop on the early odds before the Democratic candidates take the stage tomorrow night.
Bloomberg Qualifies For Nevada Debate
Mike Bloomberg qualified for the ninth Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas, Nevada, after receiving 19% support in a new NPR/PBS/Marist national poll Tuesday morning.
Bloomberg becomes the sixth Democrat to qualify for tomorrow night’s debate, hosted by NBC News, MSNBC, and the Nevada Independent. It’s the first time the former New York City mayor has qualified, and his 2020 campaign has confirmed he will attend.
Five candidates will join him on stage at 9:00 pm ET: Sen. Bernie Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Amy Klobuchar, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
Thanks to the Democratic National Committee removing the donation threshold last month, the Nevada debate qualification criteria opened the door for Bloomberg to make the stage upon receiving his fourth poll showing 10% or more support.
Will Bloomberg Buy The Nomination?
Despite not appearing on the primary ballot in Nevada, South Carolina, or the first two early states, Bloomberg has spent nearly $420 million (blaze it) of his own money on advertising in Super Tuesday states (so far)—ten times more than the $41.8 million spent by the Sanders campaign.
Here's a look at ad spending through today (including future reservations:
Bloomberg: $417.7 million
Steyer: $193.6 million
Sanders: $41.8 million
Buttigieg: $40 millon
Warren: $21.4 million
Biden: $12.3 million
Klobuchar: $10.6 million
Gabbard $5.4 million
— David Wright (@DavidWright_7) February 16, 2020
Whether Bloomberg’s big bet to bombard states voting on March 3 with ads is enough to buy the nomination remains to be seen. However, it’s undoubtedly helped his overall polling and Democratic nominee betting odds to this point.
2020 Democratic Nominee Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 18, 2020
- Bernie Sanders +135
- Michael Bloomberg +200
- Joe Biden +750
- Pete Buttigieg +800
- Amy Klobuchar +1800
- Hillary Clinton +1800
- Elizabeth Warren +6600
- Michelle Obama +8000
- Tom Steyer +15000
- Tulsi Gabbard +20000
The odds for Bloomberg currently have him listed in second place at +200 ($100 bet wins $200) to win the Democratic nomination, giving him a 33.33% probability.
Betting on Bernie Sanders’ odds, on the other hand, appears to be the safer bet. At +135 ($100 bet wins $135), the Vermont Senator has an approximately 42.55% chance to become the nominee.
Will Bernie Win Nevada?
After the Iowa Caucus app disaster, Sanders went on to win New Hampshire and has since surged in polls across the board, according to average national and state polling at RealClearPolitics.
Barring a major upset, Sanders appears to be a lock to win Nevada, where early voting is already underway ahead of the Feb. 22 contest. He currently polls at 30% and holds a 14 percentage point lead over Biden.
The latest Nevada Caucus odds show Sanders as a heavy favorite, receiving -600 ($600 bet wins $100) at Bovada, giving him an 85.71% chance to win the third state of the primary.
Nevada Democratic Caucus Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 18, 2020
- Bernie Sanders -600
- Joe Biden +800
- Pete Buttigieg +1000
- Amy Klobuchar +2500
- Tom Steyer +5000
- Elizabeth Warren +10000
Nevada Democratic Debate Prop Bets
Over/under $60 billion to buy the Democratic nomination? Unfortunately, that’s not one of the prop bets available (yet) for tomorrow night’s Democratic presidential debate in Las Vegas, Nevada.
However, tomorrow’s debate at Le Theatre des Arts at Paris Las Vegas is sure to provide plenty of fireworks with all of the candidates ramping up attacks on Bloomberg in the past week.
Since the debate is being held in the gambling capital of America, online sportsbooks’ early props include some betting-themed odds. More lines will likely become available before tomorrow night, but here’s the proposition wagering currently available for the Nevada Democratic debate.
Via BetOnline – Feb. 18, 2020
Will Bernie Sanders say “damn”?
- Yes -140
- No +100
Will Bernie Sanders say “Epstein”?
- No -200
- Yes +150
Will any candidate to say “Hillary”?
- No -500
- Yes +300
Will “underdog” or “favorite” be said by any candidate?
- No -300
- Yes +200
Will the topic of sports betting or gambling be brought up?
- No -1500
- Yes +600
Over/Under: How many times will “billionaires” be said by candidates?
- Over 2.5 billionaires -140
- Under 2.5 billionaires +100
Over/Under: How many times will “Trump” be said by candidates?
- Under 52.5 Trump -120
- Over 52.5 Trump -110
Over/Under: How many times will “China” be said by candidates?
- Over 10.5 China -120
- Under 10.5 China -120
Over/Under: How many times will “virus” be said by candidates?
- Over 3.5 virus -120
- Under 3.5 virus -120