Odds Heavily Favor Bernie Sanders Before Nevada Debate
Heading into the ninth Democratic presidential debate, the oddsmakers are feelin’ the Bern like never before.
Bernie Sanders’ betting odds—for both the Nevada caucuses and 2020 Democratic nominee—have hit a record high just hours before the candidates take the stage at Paris Theater in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Nevada Caucus Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 19, 2020
- Bernie Sanders -650
- Joe Biden +900
- Pete Buttigieg +1000
- Amy Klobuchar +2500
- Tom Steyer +5000
- Elizabeth Warren +10000
When looking at the current Nevada Caucus odds, it’s clear Sanders holds a massive lead over his Democratic rivals.
Bovada sportsbook currently listed Sanders at -650 odds ($650 bet wins $100). When converted to an implied probability, we can see the oddsmakers give the Vermont senator an approximately 86.67% chance to win the third primary state.
Early voting began earlier this week, and the NV caucus results will be reported on Sat., Feb. 22. According to the Nevada average polling at RealClearPolitics, Sanders currently polls at 30% support and holds at 14 percentage point lead over Joe Biden, who sits at 16% support.
As a result, Biden’s betting chances check-in at a distant second, with oddsmakers listing him at +900 ($100 bet $900). At those odds, the former Vice President has about a 10% chance to pull off the upset.
2020 Democratic Nominee Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 19, 2020
- Bernie Sanders +125
- Michael Bloomberg +200
- Joe Biden +775
- Pete Buttigieg +800
- Amy Klobuchar +2000
- Hillary Clinton +2000
- Elizabeth Warren +6600
- Michelle Obama +8000
- Tom Steyer +15000
- Tulsi Gabbard +20000
While the Democratic nomination odds are a bit tighter, Sanders has remained the favorite since late-January, and his chances of becoming the nominee have steadily increased over that period.
At +125 odds ($100 bet wins $125), Sanders currently has a 44.44% implied probability of becoming the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election.
Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg appears to pose the only significant challenge to Sanders at this point in the race, with oddsmakers at Bovada putting the billionaire in second place on the board and listing Bloomberg’s odds at +200, giving him a 33.33% chance to win the nomination.
Nevada Democratic Debate Prop Bets
The Nevada debate props were initially released yesterday. Still, you can find the updated odds below, along with some of the newest additions on the prop betting board at BetOnline sportsbook.
Via BetOnline – Feb. 19, 2020
Will Bernie Sanders say “damn” during the debate?
- Yes -140
- No +100
Will Bernie Sanders say “Epstein” during the debate?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Will “favorite” or “underdog” be said by any candidate?
- No -280
- Yes +185
Will “sports betting” or “gambling” be a topic at the debate?
- No -700
- Yes +400
Will “Hillary” be said by any candidate?
- No -400
- Yes +250
Will “Astros” be said by any candidate?
- Yes +1000
- No +600
Over/Under: How many times will “Trump” be said by all candidates?
- Under 52.5 Trump -125
- Over 52.5 Trump -115
Over/Under: How many times will “billionaires” be said by all candidates?
- Over 2.5 billionaires -160
- Under 2.5 billionaires +120
Over/Under: How many times will “China” be said by all candidates?
- Over 10.5 China -120
- Under 10.5 China -120
Over/Under: How many times will “virus” be said by all candidates?
- Over 3.5 virus -135
- Under 3.5 virus -105