Despite Qualifying For November Debate, Steyer And Booker Favored To Drop Next

We are just one week out from the next Democratic debate in Atlanta, Georgia and things are looking bleak for some candidates.

Held on the Oprah Winfrey stage at Tyler Perry Studios, MSNBC and The Washington Post will host the event on November 20 with ten Democratic Party candidates, including:

  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren
  • Former VP Joe Biden
  • Sen. Bernie Sanders
  • South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg
  • Entrepreneur Andrew Yang
  • Sen. Kamala Harris
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar
  • Sen. Cory Booker
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
  • Billionaire Tom Steyer

Last month, the stage featured 12 candidates, although former Housing Secretary Julián Castro has not yet been able to qualify for the November debate and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke ended his campaign earlier this month.

Like O’Rourke, other candidates are expected to end their White House hopes soon. Some might even drop before the debate next week. That’s what Bovada’s bet says, anyway.

Despite qualifying for the Georgia debate, Steyer has the best odds to drop out of the Presidential race before November 20 at -170 chances. Booker, another debate qualifier, has the second-best chances at -115.

Which candidate will drop before the Democratic debate on November 20?

Via Bovada

  • Tom Steyer -170
  • Cory Booker -115
  • Kamala Harris +1200
  • Joe Biden +1500
  • Andrew Yang +3300
  • Bernie Sanders +3500
  • Pete Buttigieg +4000
  • Elizabeth Warren +6600

Steyer, a former hedge fund manager that didn’t join the race until July, is a longshot Democratic candidate. Nevertheless, Steyer has qualified for the last two debates and is earning a consistent 1-2% in many national polls.

Booker, on the other hand, has been in the race since February and has qualified for every Democratic debate of 2019.

The New Jersey Senator did flaunt the idea of dropping out at the end of the third quarter this year, but was able to raise over $2 million to cover operating costs and keep his Oval Office aspirations alive.

Although they probably aren’t likely to drop before the debate after qualifying for it, the political betting odds for Steyer and Booker do not offer much hope long term.

Booker’s betting odds are +8000, which are barely higher than Steyer’s chances of the party nomination at +10000. For a full comparison of the Democratic candidates, the following odds have been pulled from Bovada.

2020 Democratic nomination odds

Via Bovada

  • Elizabeth Warren +150
  • Joe Biden +275
  • Pete Buttigieg +500
  • Bernie Sanders +600
  • Michael Bloomberg +1000
  • Andrew Yang +1500
  • Tulsi Gabbard +4000
  • Kamala Harris +5000
  • Amy Klobuchar +8000
  • Cory Booker +8000
  • Tom Steyer +10000
  • Julian Castro +12500
  • Marianne Williamson +15000
Jennifer Nichols:

Jennifer Nichols is a professional writer and political betting enthusiast. She also has a background in marketing, which provides unique insight into the way politically relevant information, statistics and polling information is interpreted and shared.

When she's not writing about the political landscape in the US, Jennifer enjoys working on her extensive DIY home renovation projects, camping and traveling.

Coming from a military family, Jennifer moved around quite a bit during her childhood and is happy to be settled down here in Tallahassee. As one of the earlier team members to join PEO, Jennifer is a veteran writer for the site.

Jennifer can be reached by email: Jennifer@presidentialelectionodds.net