2026 Senate Election Betting Odds
Odds For 2026 Senate Elections
Following the most recent Senate elections, the Democratic Party secured a majority after Jon Osoff and Raphael Warnock won their respective runoff races in Georgia. Once Kamala Harris became the Vice President as well as the sitting President of the US Senate, the DNC received the tie-breaker they needed to install Chuck Schumer as the Senate Majority Leader and claim their majority.
Because of the narrow Party split among US Senators, the GOP and the DNC will still need to work closely together to ensure that business runs smoothly on Capitol Hill, but later this year, the campaigns, and the odds for the 2026 Senate Elections will heat up. Learn more about these proceedings, and how to bet on the 2026 US Senate Election odds, by reading the remainder of our guide below.
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2026 Senate Races
- TBA
Current Betting Odds For 2026 US Senate Elections
Betting odds for individual 2026 Senate Elections will appear once campaigns begin and politicians begin declaring their candidacy. We’ll update this section with political betting lines for the US Senate as the odds appear at online sportsbooks.
Popular sportsbooks include Dr. Oz odds, Mitch McConnell odds, Lindsey Graham odds, Nancy Pelosi odds, Stacy Abrams odds, and more, for the upcoming US Senate elections.
For now, here is a line on which party will retain control in 2022.
Which Party Will Control The Senate After The 2026 Midterm Election?
- Republican -360
- Democratic +250
Can I Legally Bet On The 2026 Senate Elections?
Absolutely. There are no federal laws that prohibit US residents from placing political bets at licensed and regulated offshore sportsbooks such as the ones you see here. All the 2022 election odds for US Senate races will be made available soon, and futures odds for the 2024 Presidency are already on the board.
Key Senators Up For Re-Election In 2026
The US Senate is controlled by the Republican Party, and while the RNC is predicted to keep the upper chamber, there are a few notable Senators who were thought to be at risk.
Which Party Holds The Advantage In The 2022 Senate Elections
The 2022 Senate elections are expected to be hotly contested once again as the Democrats try to build on their majority while the GOP attempts to once again regain control. Which party holds the advantage following the 2022 US Senate elections will factor heavily on the performance of President Joe Biden.
If his policies during his first two years gain traction and are viewed favorably by voters, then the DNC will have a solid shot at retaining, or adding to, their current majority. The odds produced by the top legal election betting sites will be revealed before too long, and quite often, they reflect a more accurate election result than pundit predictions.
How To Predict Senate Elections
There are several factors that go into predicting the Senate elections. The most important data points to consider are the following (tempered by the fact that incumbent US Senators on both sides of the aisle enjoy a re-election rate of better than 90%):
- Candidate recruitment – Parties work hard to mold their perfect candidate with the best odds of winning in a given district. Pay attention to the candidates to whom the DNC and GOP committees give the most support.
- Fundraising – Money talks in politics and some candidates have a better financial foundation to stand on. Typically, the more money a campaign has, the better its chance of victory, as it is more able to purchase ad buys and get its candidate’s message out.
- Voting history – Voting history and voter registration data play a big part in predicting which party or candidate is going to win a US Senate race. Gerrymandering, while nominally banned, also occurs, so it’s important to look at redistricting maps where applicable (albeit this is usually less of an issue in statewide Senate races).
- Recent trends – The “recent trends” data point reflects voter sentiment on current events, and it can be informative when picking which Senators you think will win election or re-election.
Red Wave, Blue Wave?
Political experts correctly predicted that the Democratic party would take over the US House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections. Oddsmakers were once again correct in their prediction that the DNC would attain a majority in the US Senate following the 2020 election cycle.
What oddsmakers and bettors alike will need to pay attention to is the momentum that each political party builds during the onset of the campaign season, as that will largely determine whether the blue wave will continue to wax, or wane and give way to a red resurgence.
Impact Of The 2020 Georgia Senate Runoff Election
The two Georgia Senate runoffs were won by the Democrat Party’s Ossoff and Warnock, thus delivering the DNC a simple majority in that legislative body. President Joe Biden took office on January 20th, and on that day, the Democrats gained control of Congress, the Senate, and the White House.
Former Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is now arguably the highest-ranking Republican in office, yet he now finds himself as the captain of the minority faction that must play ball with the DNC in order to maintain relevance.
What Are Senate Runoff Elections And Why Do They Happen?
Senate runoff elections do not happen in every state, and only 12 states abide by the runoff election system.
A runoff election happens when more than two candidates run for an office seat, and the electorate’s votes do not give one candidate a 50% majority. The two candidates that received the most votes in that election hold another election (a runoff), where the electorate votes again to give one of those two a majority and decide a winner.
What Are Senate Special Elections And Why Do They Happen?
A special election may happen for any Senatorial seat and is sometimes referred to as a bye-election. State Senators have two-year terms. In some cases, a Senator steps down from office (due to retirement, death, scandal, etc.) before their term ends. A Senate special election refers to an election to fill a vacant Senate seat between a general election.
In some instances, such as in Georgia, the state Governor appoints an interim Senator to fill the vacant seat until the next general election. In other cases, special elections begin at the time an officeholder vacates their seat.
Recap Of The US Senate Betting Odds In 2020
The winners for the following US Senate races (at least those that have been called as of November 4) are featured below in bold.
Odds provided by BetOnline.
Kentucky Senate Race*
- Mitch McConnell -1000
- Amy McGrath +550
South Carolina Senate Race*
- Lindsey Graham -400
- Jaime Harrison +250
Alabama Senate Race*
- Tommy Tuberville -1200
- Doug Jones +750
Arizona Senate Race*
- Mark Kelly -500
- Martha McSally +300
Colorado Senate Race*
- John Hickenlooper -900
- Cory Gardner +500
Iowa Senate Race*
- Joni Ernst -140
- Theresa Greenfield +100
Kansas Senate Race*
- Roger Marshall -500
- Barbara Bollier +300
Maine Senate Race*
- Sara Gideon -300
- Susan Collins +200
Michigan Senate Race*
- Gary Peters -425
- John James +265
Montana Senate Race*
- Steve Daines -175
- Steve Bullock +135
North Carolina Senate Race*
- Cal Cunningham -200
- Thom Tillis +150
*Odds from Nov. 1, 2020.
2020 Congressional Balance of Power Odds
Note: The following odds are currently off the boards, but this is how they looked on Election Day 2020.
Via Bovada
US Senate Control (117th Congress)*
- Republicans +100
- Democrats -130
House And Senate Balance Of Power (117th Congress)*
- Democratic House, Democratic Senate +125
- Democratic House, Republican Senate +175
- Republican House, Republican Senate +500
- Republican House, Democratic Senate +6600
*Odds from Nov. 1, 2020.