Political News Blog Political News Blog Fourth Democratic Debate Props: Odds On Biden, His Son, And Key Talking Points
fourth democratic debate ohio

Fourth Democratic Debate Props: Odds On Biden, His Son, And Key Talking Points

The first Democratic debate in June was held in Florida, one of the country’s most important swing states. Tonight, for the fourth debate, the presidential hopefuls travel to another swing state: Ohio.

Hosted by CNN and the New York Times, tonight’s debate will be at Otterbein University in Westerville, Ohio. Anderson Cooper, Erin Bernett, and Marc Lacey will moderate the event. Airing at 8 pm ET, the debate will be available on CNN, CNN International, and CNN en Español.

While the third debate only featured ten candidates, tonight’s will have 12 Democrats on stage. Absent from the Houston debate, Tulsi Gabbard and Tom Steyer will join Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Andrew Yang, Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker, Julián Castro, and Amy Klobuchar.

Fourth Democratic Debate Prop Bets

@BetOnline

Like they have for the three previous debates, BetOnline is accepting actions on a variety of political proposition bets. Tonight’s bets range from Hunter Biden, to the NBA, to Facebook, and back to polling percentages.

For ease of use, the bets are separated into categories on this page.

Popularity bets: What topics and candidates will be en vogue?

The following list of prop bets focuses on debate topics, the amount of talk-time for particular candidates, and who is most likely to be mentioned on Twitter.

Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren are expected to rule the speaking times and get the most mentions on Twitter tonight, but the popularity of other frontrunners could disrupt that.

Which topic will receive the most debate time?

  • Health care +200
  • Gun control +325
  • Immigration +350
  • Economy +400
  • Foreign policy +500
  • Climate change +800
  • Civil rights +1000

Who will receive the most speaking time during the debate?

  • Joe Biden +200
  • Elizabeth Warren +200
  • Bernie Sanders +400
  • Beto O’Rourke +600
  • Pete Buttigieg +600
  • Kamala Harris +600
  • Andrew Yang +800
  • Cory Booker +1200
  • Julián Castro +1200
  • Tulsi Gabbard +1200
  • Tom Steyer +1200
  • Amy Klobuchar +1600

Who will be tweeted about the most during the debate?

  • Joe Biden +200
  • Elizabeth Warren +200
  • Andrew Yang +500
  • Pete Buttigieg +600
  • Tulsi Gabbard +600
  • Bernie Sanders +700
  • Kamala Harris +900
  • Beto O’Rourke +900
  • Tom Steyer +1000
  • Julián Castro +1000
  • Cory Booker +1000
  • Amy Klobuchar +1600

Speech-related props: Who will say what?

The majority of the prop bets for the fourth debate are centered on what the candidates might say during the debate.

Over/unders are set for phrases like “China,” “Hunter Biden,” and “The Rock” while BetOnline is also accepting action on the likelihood of curse words and protesters’ interruptions.

How many times will “impeach” be said?

  • Over 24.5 times -120
  • Under 24.5 times -120

How many times will “Ukraine” be said?

  • Over 19.5 times -120
  • Under 19.5 times -120

How many times will “China” be said?

  • Over 49.5 times -120
  • Under 49.5 times -120

How many times will “billionaire” be said?

  • Over 9.5 times -120
  • Under 9.5 times -120

Will “fake news” be said by any candidate?

  • Yes +110
  • No -150

Will “Hunter Biden” be said by any candidate?

  • Yes -200
  • No +150

Will “NBA” be said by any candidate?

  • Yes +110
  • No -150

Will Warren say “Facebook”?

  • Yes -250
  • No +170

Will Warren say “The Rock”?

  • Yes -200
  • No +150

How many times will Biden say “Obama”?

  • Over 3.5 times -120
  • Under 3.5 times -120

How many times will Yang say “thousand dollars”?

  • Over 1.5 times -120
  • Under 1.5 times -120

Will Yang announce another giveaway?

  • Yes -150
  • No +110

Will Sanders withdraw his candidacy on stage?

  • Yes +2500
  • No -10000

Will any candidate endorse another for President?

  • Yes +500
  • No -1000

Will any candidate say a curse word or be bleeped?

  • Yes +200
  • No -300

Will the debate be interrupted by a protester?

  • Yes -200
  • No +150

Polling percentages: Over/under odds for candidates after tonight

The last category of bets is dedicated to the candidates’ polling percentages after the debate.

Using The Hill-HarrisX poll as a reference point, the over/unders are for their projected polling number on Friday, October 18. The current percentages are:

  • Biden 31%
  • Sanders 17%
  • Warren 15%
  • Harris 6%
  • Buttigieg 4%
  • O’Rourke 4%
  • Yang 2%

Of all the set totals, Harris, Sanders, and O’Rourke have over/unders listed lower than their current polling percentages.

Biden poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 34.5% -120
  • Under 34.5% -120

Warren poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 17.5% -120
  • Under 17.5% -120

Sanders poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 13.5% -120
  • Under 13.5% -120

Harris poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 5.5% -120
  • Under 5.5% -120

Buttigieg poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 5.5% -120
  • Under 5.5% -120

O’Rourke poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 3.5% -120
  • Under 3.5% -120

Yang poll percentage on October 18

  • Over 2.5% -120
  • Under 2.5% -120

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