New Hampshire Primary Odds Heavily Favor Bernie Sanders Before Democratic Debate
Seven presidential candidates will take the stage for tonight’s Democratic debate in New Hampshire, but only one will walk away with the most votes from the second state of the primary on Tuesday, Feb. 11.
And the odds favor the Bern once again.
Bernie Sanders is the overwhelming favorite to win the next stop trail on the trail, receiving far-and-away the highest odds to win the New Hampshire primary next week, according to the oddsmakers at Bovada Sportsbook.
New Hampshire Primary Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 7, 2020
- Bernie Sanders -300
- Pete Buttigieg +190
- Elizabeth Warren +2500
- Joe Biden +2500
- Andrew Yang +5000
- Amy Klobuchar +10000
Can Bernie win New Hampshire?
Sanders’ betting chances are listed at -300 odds ($300 bet wins $100), which is mathematically equivalent to a 75% implied probability.
And you have to look pretty hard to see the other Democratic candidates’ chances of winning the Granite State due to how small they are comparatively.
Pete Buttigieg’s betting odds show him in second at +190, which is a roughly 34.48% chance when not accounting for the vigorish or juice at the sportsbook.
The two appear to be the only candidates in serious contention to win New Hampshire, which is expected following the results from the Iowa Caucus disaster. Elizabeth Warren’s chances are next but are a distant third at +2500 odds, an approximately 3.85% probability.
Sanders winning New Hampshire appears to be a relatively safe bet, but nothing is really safe after Iowa. According to the updated NH average polling at RealClearPolitics, Sanders polls at 26.7% support while Buttigieg is listed at 22.0% for the aggregate opinion surveys.
New Hampshire Democratic Debate Details
Below is everything you need to know before the eighth Democratic presidential debate taking place in New Hampshire tonight—just four days until the state’s voters head to the ballot box.
NH Debate Qualified Candidates
*From left to right
- Entrepreneur Andrew Yang
- Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg
- Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders
- Former Vice President Joe Biden
- Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren
- Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar
- Businessman Tom Steyer
Candidates Who Didn’t Qualify
- Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet
- Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg
- Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
- Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick
Where: Saint Anselm College in Manchester, NH
When: Tuesday, Feb. 7, from 8:00 PM ET to 11:00 PM ET
Watch/Stream: All platforms for ABC, WMUR-TV, and Apple News
Moderators: ABC – George Stephanopoulos, David Muir, Linsey Davis; WMUR-TV – Adam Sexton, Monica Hernandez
Odds: There doesn’t appear to be political debate prop bets available at the time of writing, but be sure to follow us on Twitter for updates on any new odds. For now, here are the latest 2020 Democratic nominee odds.
2020 Democratic Nominee Odds
Via Bovada – Feb. 7, 2020
- Bernie Sanders +140
- Michael Bloomberg +375
- Pete Buttigieg +450
- Joe Biden +500
- Elizabeth Warren +1200
- Hillary Clinton +2000
- Andrew Yang +2800
- Amy Klobuchar +6600
- Michelle Obama +10000
- Tom Steyer +15000
- Tulsi Gabbard +20000
- Deval Patrick +25000
- Michael Bennet +25000