BetOnline Props Say Warren Will Have The Most Talk Time In Houston Debate
Saddle up for Texas and ante up for the prop bets.
The third Democratic debate is only one day away. In preparation, BetOnline has released a set of proposition bets for the Houston showdown.
Bets for the debate range from how long candidates will speak, to what they’ll say, to their polling averages next week.
The first prop bet available is one of the most important aspects of the debate, regardless of props. Elizabeth Warren has the best chances among Democratic favorites to get the most speaking time Thursday night at +225 odds. Joe Biden is a close second at +250 odds with Bernie Sanders coming in third with +400 odds.
Amy Klobuchar is predicted to get the least amount of talking time at +1600 odds.
Which candidate will receive the most speaking time?
- Elizabeth Warren +225
- Joe Biden +250
- Bernie Sanders +400
- Beto O’Rourke +400
- Pete Buttigieg +600
- Kamala Harris +600
- Cory Booker +1000
- Julián Castro +1000
- Andrew Yang +1000
- Amy Klobuchar +1600
Even if a candidate gets the most talking time, there’s a chance something they say is not completely factual. Whether it’s an accident, misrepresentation of data, or simply a lie, oddsmakers are taking action on these non-facts. The over/under is set at 6.5 total non-facts, both of which have -120 odds.
How many non-facts will be said by candidates?
- Over 6.5 non-facts -120
- Under 6.5 non-facts -120
If betting on every candidate’s non-facts is not enough, BetOnline also has a prop bet focused on Biden’s non-facts specifically. The over/under for Biden is 1.5 non-facts with -120 chances of either one hitting.
How many non-facts will be said by Joe Biden?
- Over 1.5 non-facts -120
- Under 1.5 non-facts -120
With the recent acts of gun violence in America, including four since the last Democratic debate in July, the phrase “background checks” is bound to come up during Thursday’s event. The over/under is 5.5 “background checks,” with -120 odds on both.
How many times will “background checks” be said?
- Over 5.5 “background checks” -120
- Under 5.5 “background checks” -120
Last week, select Democrats participated in a CNN-hosted climate change town hall event. It’s likely that the debate tomorrow will feature some runoff (pun intended) from the forum last week. The over/under for “climate change” is 13.5 total times. Like all over/unders for these debate prop bets, both have -120 chances.
How many times will “climate change” be said?
- Over 13.5 “climate change” -120
- Under 13.5 “climate change” -120
Hurricane Dorian was a Category 5 that devastated the Bahamas earlier this month. The over/under for saying “Dorian” is set at 2.5 times, which could range from discussing the storm itself, relief for the Bahamas, or Trump’s Alabama controversy and Sharpiegate.
How many times will “Dorian” be said?
- Over 2.5 “Dorian” -120
- Under 2.5 “Dorian” -120
Speaking of Trump controversies, the number of times “Russia” will be said has an over/under at 3.5 mentions for the debate. There are also rumors of a Russian-American espionage scandal that could come up tomorrow night.
How many times will “Russia” be said?
- Over 3.5 “Russia” -120
- Under 3.5 “Russia” -120
Pete Buttigieg offered one of the July debate’s most quotable blurbs, saying that regardless of Democratic policies, Republicans will always call them “crazy socialists.” It isn’t expected to happen much tomorrow as the over/under for “socialist” is 1.5 total utterances.
How many times will “socialist” be said?
- Over 1.5 “Socialist” -120
- Under 1.5 “Socialist” -120
During the second debate in July, CNN moderators did their best to stop the candidates from going over their time and interrupting others on stage. Now with ABC moderators, the trend is expected to continue. The over/under for “time is up” by moderators is 3.5 times.
How many times will moderators say “time is up”?
- Over 3.5 “time is up” -120
- Under 3.5 “time is up” -120
The House Judiciary Committee is set to take its first formal vote to define the parameters of Chairman Jerry Nadler’s ongoing “impeachment investigation” of Trump. This could be a talking point during the debate, along with the general consensus in the Democratic Party calling for Trump’s removal from office. Oddsmakers predict that a candidate will say “impeach” at -200 odds on Thursday.
Will any candidate say “impeach”?
- Yes -200
- No +150
Trump is never one to shy away from Twitter usage. But during the first Democratic debate, Trump was relatively quiet, only issuing a “BORING!” tweet. He was more active during the July debate, however. For the Houston debate, the over/under on Trump’s tweets is 3.5 total with -120 odds on each.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 27, 2019
How many times will Trump tweet during the debate?
- Over 3.5 tweet -120
- Under 3.5 tweet -120
In most polls, including the Economist/YouGov poll released today, Warren (26%) is polling higher than Sanders (16%). As a result, the odds are in Warren’s favor at -175 for having a higher national polling average on September 19, compared to Sanders’ +135 odds.
Who will have a higher national poll average on September 19?
- Elizabeth Warren -175
- Bernie Sanders +135
According to ABC, the hosts of this debate, there will be no closing statements for the Democrats in Houston. With that, it is impossible for a candidate to mention Trump in their closing statements.
Will “Trump” be said in any closing statements?
- Yes -200
- No +150
Within minutes of the Detroit debate, protesters interrupted Cory Booker’s opening statement, yelling “Fire Pantaleo,” referring to the 2014 murder of Eric Garner by Staten Island police officer Daniel Pantaleo. But for Houston, -300 odds say that the debate will not be stopped by any similar challenges.
Will the debate be interrupted by a protester?
- Yes +200
- No -300
To watch the Houston debate and keep track of the prop bets, tune into ABC, ABC News Live, or Univision between 8 and 11 p.m. ET tomorrow night. The debate will also be available to stream on ABCNews.com and YouTube.
A list of each candidate’s odds is also provided below, including Democrats that did not qualify for this debate.
2020 Democratic nomination odds
- Elizabeth Warren +200
- Joe Biden +350
- Bernie Sanders +400
- Andrew Yang +800
- Kamala Harris +1000
- Pete Buttigieg +1600
- Tulsi Gabbard +2500
- Cory Booker +3300
- Beto O’Rourke +5000
- Tom Steyer +5000
- Amy Klobuchar +6600
- Julián Castro +8000
- Marianne Williamson +8000
- Bill de Blasio +12500
- John Delaney +12500
- Michael Bennett +12500
- Tim Ryan +12500