Candidate Update: Midterm Primary Election Odds Project A Red Takeover
The 2022 Midterm Elections are less than five months away and candidates are hot on the campaign trail. Twenty US states have already hosted primary votes to determine party picks for November. Seven of these elections took place this past Tuesday.
Election Season Heats Up
Despite the impact of COVID-19, this year’s season doesn’t look much different from the last. Still, many political pundits have dubbed the occasion as one of the most defining races of the 21st century.
Furthermore, they claim that the outcome of this election is bound to set the stage for 2024.
The US Senate and House are expected to turn red this year as issues with inflation, foreign policy, and COVID-19 response have weakened popularity among sitting progressives. US political futures suggest a landslide victory for Republicans.
Odds Suggest Republicans Sweep The Floor
The odds are as follows:
Who Will Control The Senate In 2022?
- Republicans -450
- Democrats +275
Who will control the House in 2022?
- Republicans -1100
- Democrats +650
While, of course, progressives and conservatives are both vying to keep congressional control, the two have different goals in this election.
It seems that Democrats are gauging their prospects for 2024 and evaluating unity within the party. Meanwhile, the GOP is measuring the longevity of Trump-Esque politics and ideals.
What To Watch In Coming Months
Political analysts are keeping their eyes on five key states to watch for election trends. Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin each flipped blue during the Presidential race in 2020.
We at PEO have been tracking the results of these party races as they’re released. In the table below, you’ll see who has already secured a spot on the ballot for their respective gubernatorial elections.
|US State||Gubernatorial Candidates/Primary Winners|
|Alabama||(R) Kay Ivey*, (D) Yolanda Flowers and (D) Malika Sanders-Fortier to enter runoff 06/21|
|Arkansas||(D) Chris Jones, (R) Sarah Huckabee Sanders|
|California||(D) Gavin Newsom*, (R) Brian Dahle|
|Georgia||(D) Stacey Abrams, (R) Brian Kemp*|
|Idaho||(D) Brad Little*, (R) Stephen Heidt, (L) Paul Sand|
|Iowa||(R) Kim Reynolds*, (D) Deidre DeJear, (L) Rick Stewart|
|Nebraska||(D) Carol Blood, (R) Jim Pillen, (L) Scott Zimmerman|
|New Mexico||(D) Michelle Lujan Grisham*, (R) Mark Ronchetti|
|Ohio||(D) Nan Whaley, (R) Richard Michael DeWine*|
|Oregon||(D) Tina Jotek, (R) Christine Drazan|
|Pennsylvania||(D) Josh Shapiro, (R) Doug Mastriano|
|Texas||(D) Beto O’Rourke, (R) Greg Abbott*|
|South Dakota||(R) Kristi L. Noem*, (D) Jamie Smith, (L) Tracey Quint|
For those interested in political props betting, be sure to come back and visit our site. We will continue to update candidate lists and available betting lines as the season moves forward.
Source: ABC News